Viewing 15 posts - 61 through 75 (of 334 total)
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  • #29198
    hatman
    Participant

      One day the markets will *sense* that the rate of infection is starting to fall, and the numbers from China and Korea might provide some relief.  Bizarrely, Italy’s decisive and rather dramatic action might also be interpreted as a positive if the evidence from the Far East shows that quarantine solves or limits the problem.  Rather like ‘buy when the first bullet is fired’, so to speak…

      The smash in the Oil market (expected Monday) might cause a sharp markdown in Oil stocks initially, but then be interpreted positively because lower oil prices are clearly a benefit to economies.

      #29199
      cimac
      Participant

        I would prefer a new Dow low in this sequence.

        My dip buy timing could be anytime in Dow cash.

        Due to the risk I want a very good entry point
        or I will be happy to wait.

        Never give up, never surrender.

        #29200
        houdini
        Participant

          Think your getting your wish for a new sequence low cim.tomorrow wont be forgotten in a while the way its shaping up right now.stay safe.

          #29201
          cimac
          Participant

            Yes it looks like a steep drop !

            Never give up, never surrender.

            #29202
            hatman
            Participant

              Oil down 30%…

              Dow futures currently down 1,000…

              #29204
              hatman
              Participant

                SPX:  in this chart I pointed out that spx stopped at almost exactly the 50% Fib retrace.  Today the futures are trading well below that level (currently at 2825).

                I suppose it’s reasonable to assume that if cash breaks that 50% it will want to try for the 61.8 down at about 2,750.  Not a guarantee or prediction, just a reasonable assumption.

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                #29206
                hatman
                Participant

                  FTSE currently down 6.6% presumably due to oil stocks.

                  Norway down 8.8%….

                  Some oil stocks in Australia currently down 15-20%…

                  #29207
                  hatman
                  Participant

                    DOW:  for Dow cash I’m guessing that it might be forming another ‘three down’ perhaps as part of a larger falling wedge thing.  The decline from 27,100 doesn’t look like a five to my eye.

                    If so, we should get a ‘c’ wave down which can be 0.618 at about 24,825 or c=a in the 24,100 area.  Futures have already bust through the first target, but of course cash might do something different.

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                    #29209
                    hatman
                    Participant

                      Correction:  futures got as low as 24,220, and as cash usually tries to print the futures at some point, this suggests the lower target has a high probability.

                      #29210
                      cimac
                      Participant

                        Dow futures 24550 floor being held by some providers.

                        Spx 2818

                        Nas 8088

                        Curious

                        Never give up, never surrender.

                        #29211
                        cimac
                        Participant

                          Credit Crunch II … be prepared.

                          Never give up, never surrender.

                          #29212
                          hatman
                          Participant

                            Dow futures 24550 floor being held by some providers. Spx 2818 Nas 8088 Curious

                             

                            It’s because the futures get frozen limit down 5%.  Not allowed to trade again until cash opens.  Hence the flat line.

                            #29213
                            hatman
                            Participant

                              FTSE and DAX both showing down nearly 10%…

                              #29214
                              houdini
                              Participant

                                Never seen limit down happen in the futures before,i think after the inevitable rth bloodbath,we print at least a short term low today..ive got 2740ish as stern support..right near your 2750 hatman..should it get really ugly

                                #29215
                                cimac
                                Participant

                                  Cheers guys.

                                  I have a cit forecast for later today.

                                  Not sure I will be brave enough to back it !

                                  Never give up, never surrender.

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