The VOLD SYSTEM

This is a highly successful SYSTEM that predicts that there will be a low within 1-2 days of triggering and then a 70-130 point rally will ensue from there.

This low will look and feel very scary. However the following bounce is sharp and reaches a high of between 70-130 points.

Usually how it works is if it surpasses 70 handles, it goes on to 130 handles on ES E mini contract / SPX Cash.

SYSTEM MS (MINI SWING)

This is an incredibly successful SYSTEM posted on Khalsaspad since 2006.

Every trade is logged on the old Khalsapad and you can see its success here.

http://khalsaspad.com/old/index.php?name=Forums&file=viewtopic&t=1787&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=0

When it triggers it gives a 5 point and an optional 7 point target from the trigger price.

So say for example it triggers long on ES at 1700. The target will then be 1705 and 1707 optional.

Likewise if it triggers short at 1695, the target is 1690 and optional 1688.

It is a 5 day SYSTEM and the target should print within 5 days.

Usually however as you will see it prints by DAY2.

The variation on this SYSTEM is where it closes “On the Edge” of a trigger. If that happens then we usually get a gap down open the next day or if the prevailing trend is ‘Mad Trend Up’ then it can be a gap up open and a quick gap fill.

SYSTEM MS has its own thread on the subscriber’s side.

SYSTEM BDIP (BIG DOWN INTRADAY PRINT)

This is a 4 day SYSTEM.

It predicts that we will have a -17/-23 negative print within 4 days of trigger.

If DAY1 is a low negative print, then DAY2 is usually -10/-13/-17/-23

In a BEAR PHASE its very negative with each day being a -10/-17/-23.

In a BULL PHASE you still should get a -5/-7 daily within a BDIP.

These are negative prints on ES from the previous days close.

BDIP is posted in the daily SYSTEMS thread and all historical triggers are there.

SYSTEM NPR

SYSTEM NPR stands for nonsense, pollux and rubbish.

It is made up of three components which when they trigger, set up for a reversal.

So if the market is intraday SU (STUCK UP) it can trigger and if it is intraday SD (STUCK DOWN), it can also trigger.

One of the criteria is that it must GAP UP or GAP DOWN open in RTH.

That GAP then becomes a MAGNET to be filled within days. Also any further move away from the gap becomes unsustainable until it is filled.

THE DDDD SYSTEM

This is the Double Digit Down Day SYSTEM. It means we should trade a double digit move from the high to the low intraday.

I have various SYSTEMS as you know. I also have various OBSERVATIONS.

I have noticed that when some of my SYSTEMS trigger, they are usually followed by a DDDD a few days later (usually 1-4 days).

Those of you that have been on the Pad a while would have witnessed many times a DDDD trigger followed by a Double Digit move from the high to the low intraday.

I have also added DDDD season now to the arsenal. We have had a few recently and they can last anything from 2 weeks to a month where the majority of DAYS are DDDD’s

Lastly there are times when I will post and expect a DDDD on close (ie a close of < -10).

THE KAIS (Khalsa Always In) SYSTEM

The idea is to have one SYSTEM which is always in the market, either Long or Short.

So for example if it signals long at 1600 you would buy the market and be long. If it then signals a short at 1630 you would then close the long for 30 points profit and open a short at 1630 and so on.

The idea is to be always in and run until the next signal, irrespective of gut feel, other systems, fed, results, nfp’s etc. Thats the tough bit and why I have developed this simple SYSTEM.

Its early days yet but it has done the following now.

THE KTB SYSTEM AND WHAT TO EXPECT

Usually it is a bullish Trin Buy in the Bull.

In the Bear when it worked it was very good, but if it failed, it was seriously down after that.

However it normally always gives you atleast a +3/+5/+7 the day after it triggers.

The only times it rarely fails to give a +3 the next day is when it has triggered on a double digit upday on spoos. On those days upside and downside is generally unsustainable (DOJI type day).

However where it does not print a +3, it usually acts like a magnet and downside is unsustainable.

The clue is a gap down open and then the gap becomes resistance to the +3.

Also a sign of a failure is if it trades -10 from the close of the day of the trigger.

Then it can go on to fall a minimum of another 10 points.

Over the years it has been true to say that a KTB usually gives a +7 on DAY1 and in a BULL can be the end of a downtrend and rally 30-70 points up.

THE KTS AND WHAT ONE CAN EXPECT

The characteristics are usually a small pop (not necessary) the next morning, followed by a drop to a -5/-7.

Where we gap up open, then upside becomes unsustainable and we nearly always gap fill.

Any KTS targets? Well in the old days (Bear) it could drop 60-80 handles pretty fast. Recently (in the Bull) it has been pretty useless and just been a small CIT for minimum 20 points from the high.

The KTS has had failures since March 03 if you are looking for an immediate down the next day. However when a KTS triggers it is usually always an early warning for a CIT and could be a multi day pop and drop. Ie up on DAY1 but then down on DAY2.

Since March 2003, its always been a pop and drop and gives you an ES -3 minimum. Therefore waiting until the next day can give you a better price (ie short the pop before the drop). You can get a +3,+5,+7 maybe even +10 to short the next day. This was not the case pre March 03, but has become a characteristic since.

Where it fails to sometimes give a -3 (but rarely fails to pop and drop) is when it triggers on a large downday. Those days it could rally to +3/+5,+7 and then drop back. Also when it triggers on a large downday, those days could be when we get the multiday pop and drop.

Nearly always a KTS was a CIT. However when it failed to immediately trend down on the first KTS, it was sometimes followed by another KTS after a few days and that was the immediate nail in the coffin (2nd KTS)

Problem is sometimes the drawdown was 10-20 points on the first KTS, before the next one.

Nearly always if it went up and did not give the -3 after the trigger, then next day was quite a nice down day.

Therefore I look to short for the KTS once I see a good entry the next day.

KTS5

The main difference is that KTS5 is the same trigger but on a big down day.

Hence DAY1 of KTS can be a bounce (but still have pop and drop characteristics).

SYSTEM GFS

This is a Gap Fill System that is posted after RTH open at 9.30am and pre 9.50am EST (15 mins after RTH open).

It tells us whether there can be Opening Gap Fill or not.

The opening gap needs to be > 3 handles for it to trigger.

“GFS triggered” means Gap should fill same day.

“NO GFS means GAP SHOULD NOT FILL UNTIL 3pm EST. After that its crookshour which has no respect for anything and if the gap wants to fill, it can.

BORDERLINE GFS

This just evades the full criteria for SYSTEM GFS.

However the difference seems to be that it looks SU all day but the gap fill remains a magnet and it gets close to or fills late in the day, even as late as crookshour sometimes.

THE KHC (KHALSA HIGH CONFICENCE) SYSTEM

It is a system I have been running and posted on the pad since January 2003. It used to be called KG (Khalsa Guarantee) because it never had any failures (WOW what a system). I then  renamed it to KP (Khalsa Prediction) because it has had 5 failures out of many, many hundreds of calls (I think the CROOKS must have started reading the Pad! ).

Over the last few years it has been extended to all the existing SYSTEMS which were backtested to see their results.

KHC-5 mean’s spoos should trade lower by 5 points from its price at 5.15pm (EST) (10.15pm UK BST) close. For example, if spoos closed at 1700, we then have a target of 1695 before close the next day on spoos (-5).

In all the failures there is a common theme. We had a large relentless globex move resulting in a gap open. In those circumstances the opening move was then unsustainable shortly after RTH open and the Gap Fill acted like a magnet. This therefore enabled you to possibly exit the trade close to breakeven.

Likewise KHC+5 is the reverse.

Skip to toolbar