W/B Saturday 4th April

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  • #29757
    cimac
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      Project Bull/Bear for next week.

      Sunday night futures bears.

      Monday Tuesday Wednesday a fight to control.

      Thursday Friday Bulls.

      Never give up, never surrender.

      #29758
      cimac
      Participant
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        Ftse 60min chart there is a descending wedge / pennant
        with a floor circa 5400.

        IF the floor holds it could target 6000.

        IF the pennant is a ‘b’ following the ‘a’ up
        from March lows then ‘c’ up targets 6500.

        Floor tested on friday … make or break next week
        and a good move will start, up or down is the ?

        Never give up, never surrender.

        #29759
        cimac
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          A group of asset managers from some of the largest London
          based funds, have asked the BOE to shut financial
          markets, for two weeks.

          Never give up, never surrender.

          #29760
          Khalsa
          Moderator
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            That would be suicidal. You have to let the markets find their price.

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #29761
            cimac
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              There was not universal agreement with some wanting
              markets to remain open maybe with shorter hours.

              Many riskier securities, including junk bonds and
              emerging-market debts, were now near impossible
              to trade.

              Never give up, never surrender.

              #29762
              cimac
              Participant
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                Cash is King once again !

                Never give up, never surrender.

                #29763
                cimac
                Participant
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                  Many people need to sell stocks to raise much needed cash.

                  I suppose you could ‘fix’ all stocks buy / sell levels.

                  When it comes to FX you would need all Central Banks to
                  agree on fixed exchange rates buy / sell.

                  Limit down / up and maybe shorter opening hours with
                  the odd shut down are all we are likely to see.

                  It does indicate that we are VERY likely to see a
                  few well known funds go belly up, or request
                  a bail out.

                  Never give up, never surrender.

                  #29771
                  kitsu
                  Participant
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                    I can see weekend FTSE and DOW have turned positive after being down  -70 and -200 respectively despite all the bd news.  On Friday the market was down but so was the Vix.

                    Does anyone use the Vix . Used to recall the market would dip in the week preceding OE and rally massively . That stopped working in March 2020 no surprise. Waiting to see what happens next week.

                     

                    #29772
                    cimac
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                      The waters are very muddy atm.

                      Friday we tested the floor a few times and when that
                      happens odds are the cellar door opens.

                      However, there was a very late rally in US stocks
                      which could have been shorts closing, or being
                      forced out, for a gap up sunday night.

                      For sure we are going to have perhaps the most
                      volatile week yet and that says a lot !

                      Never give up, never surrender.

                      #29773
                      Khalsa
                      Moderator
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                        I can see weekend FTSE and DOW have turned positive after being down -70 and -200 respectively despite all the bd news. On Friday the market was down but so was the Vix. Does anyone use the Vix . Used to recall the market would dip in the week preceding OE and rally massively . That stopped working in March 2020 no surprise. Waiting to see what happens next week.

                        Vix is not behaving how it used to. The other day the market was up slot with vix up. That turned out to be a great contra indicator.

                        As for OE, it’s s complete gamble nowadays.

                        It’s the algorithms, they have changed so much of what used to work and what does not.

                        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                        #29774
                        cimac
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                          Talk of a $4 trillion infrastructure package.

                          US stock market bulls will want that news asap.

                          All in all it’s a cocktail of good and bad news
                          for next week and I would guess we will see
                          big swings based on unknown event timings.

                          No position for me atm.

                          My trades will in the blink of an eye next week
                          as I not hanging around in this market.

                          Never give up, never surrender.

                          #29775
                          Khalsa
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                            Talk of a $4 trillion infrastructure package. US stock market bulls will want that news asap. All in all it’s a cocktail of good and bad news for next week and I would guess we will see big swings based on unknown event timings. No position for me atm. My trades will in the blink of an eye next week as I not hanging around in this market.

                            To be fair this news was dominant last week and it will keep recurring to push the markets higher.

                            I am very unsure here so will sleep without opening any positions and see you all in the morning.

                            Goodnight or should I say Good Morning David aka Hatman 🙂

                            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                            #29776
                            hatman
                            Participant
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                              Yep, good morning here in the Far East.

                              SPX has sustained the pattern shown a few days ago – quite possibly an ‘A’ up followed by a ‘B’ down.  Then we got sideways action.

                              This sideways action can be interpreted as another ‘B’ wave pointing lower.  But looks can be deceiving, and I’ve seen patterns like this resolve upwards.

                              Futures at the moment are pointing sharply higher.

                              Note the sideways channel which often resolves in a move equal to size – so an upwards burst might target 2,620 or a downwards lurch to 2,380.

                              At the moment I still thing we’ve got ‘C’ upwards to come, but that’s a guess and I wouldn’t want to bet money on it.

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                              #29778
                              cimac
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                                This Dow futures action will have been a shock to
                                those shorting the late friday cash spike.

                                We will know more when cash closes tonight and
                                when cash opens tuesday.

                                It is possible we have a period when bulls rule
                                futures and bears rule cash.

                                Expected an interesting week and it has not
                                disappointed right from the start.

                                Never give up, never surrender.

                                #29779
                                houdini
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                                  • Topics 0
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                                  Good morning all.they did a fair job of disguising it,but it looks like the journey to 2700+ is underway.the power of the fed.alarming to think…all that money and markets could turn down again as early as tomorrow.200 handle spikes are just normal price activity now lol.

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