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houdini.
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May 28, 2020 at 20:54 #31598
Who would like to hold now after seeing all of todays gains evaporate?
I would certainly want to sell rather than buy a dip now. In theory this should close at lows and go lower in AH session.
May 28, 2020 at 21:02 #31599NYA: I’m still seeing the upwards five count. On this rather scrappy detailed chart I’m showing the larger waves 1,2 of C. Now in wave 3 up of C.
In this wave 3 we’ve had waves i and ii, now we’ve entered iii.
In iii we’ve completed wave (i) and the drop late today appears to be wave (ii). if so it has a target in the 11,800/20 area which it is trying for at the moment.
The RISK here for short positions is that we enter wave (iii) of iii which should be another sharp move upwards.
The ‘fives count’ is invalidated if NYA falls back below 11,600.
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You must be logged in to view attached files.May 28, 2020 at 21:02 #31601Running the earlier 3048.3 short for now, limits in for 30 points but will close tonight.
Closed at 21:00 as per plan at 3031.6 for 17 points.
That is more like it!
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
May 28, 2020 at 21:04 #31602NYA: I’m still seeing the upwards five count. On this rather scrappy detailed chart I’m showing the larger waves 1,2 of C. Now in wave 3 up of C. In this wave 3 we’ve had waves i and ii, now we’ve entered iii. In iii we’ve completed wave (i) and the drop late today appears to be wave (ii). if so it has a target in the 11,800/20 area which it is trying for at the moment. The RISK here for short positions is that we enter wave (iii) of iii which should be another sharp move upwards. The ‘fives count’ is invalidated if NYA falls back below 11,600.
I can see exactly why you did not get your eraser out. Expected you to say as much.
One day at a time still for me.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
May 28, 2020 at 21:05 #31603Look at it go, 15 point rally from the spike low.
Not sure what I prefer Grind highs or spike lows lol
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
May 28, 2020 at 21:10 #31604May 28, 2020 at 21:39 #31605Saw that Kitsu, but big deal, China US tensions have been building up since last week (and long before).
It was just an excuse. They could have taken it down today because of yesterdays “Disastrous Beige Book”
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
May 28, 2020 at 21:50 #31606DOW: the count analysis is the same as for NYA. We appear to be in wave C upwards which has an ultimate target of 29,200, that’s about 3,800 points upwards from today’s close.
Like NYA, the pattern appears to be that we completed waves 1,2 of C, now in wave 3 up.
This wave 3 can be subdivided into sequences of fives. We already got i, ii. Now we appear to be pushing upwards in iii.
Again, iii can be subdivided, and it appears that we completed wave (i) up and the correction late today was wave (ii) down. If so, the Dow will now reverse upwards into wave (iii) which has a target of around 26,429.
The entire five wave pattern is invalidated if the Dow trades below 25,000.
Interesting situation where the downside risk to the invalidation point at 25,000 is about 400 points, but the upside potential to the wave C target is 3,800 points. This gives a risk/reward ratio of about 1:10.
As always, there is no guarantee that this analysis is correct, and certainly a drop below 25,000 will throw the entire thing into the 화장실 (toilet).
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You must be logged in to view attached files.May 29, 2020 at 04:19 #31608Cheers David those are good odds for risk reward.
Never give up, never surrender.
May 29, 2020 at 06:34 #31609Small long NAS at 9440 … stop 9000 … limit 10000
Never give up, never surrender.
May 29, 2020 at 08:23 #31610The timing of this trade goes against Bull/Bear which
does not support a iii of iii starting today.However this market is nuts !
Never give up, never surrender.
May 29, 2020 at 08:56 #31611David … When you get chance, can you update us on Bradley please. I think you mentioned it was supposed to be a 10/05/20 high and a 27/05/20 low.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
May 29, 2020 at 09:32 #31612Bradley chart. Be aware that it is often complete nonsense.
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You must be logged in to view attached files.May 29, 2020 at 09:34 #31614The timing of this trade goes against Bull/Bear which does not support a iii of iii starting today. However this market is nuts !
Never any guarantees Chris. I can only report what I see…
May 29, 2020 at 09:37 #31615For the Dow cash RTH it really has to hold above 25,400 (or slightly under).
As explained above, a drop below 25,000 will kill the pattern.
I don’t have a count for NAS at the moment which is taking a slightly different path (the FAMGS have started to underperform the broader market).
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