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  • #16742
    cimac
    Participant

      structurally looks like a”c” of an abc up from last mondays lows.

      That is a good ‘bet’ but something re price or timing has raised a ?

      We have the G20 this weekend and so traders must position friday
      for the outcome on monday. A lot of variables to consider.

      Never give up, never surrender.

      #16743
      cimac
      Participant

        Back to today the euroland action has raised a few ?’s as to
        how the sp500 will react in rth.

        For me the sp500 bull / bear is a fine balance and it maybe
        those robot running stop programs which decide the outcome.

        If in profit, don’t let it turn into a loss.

        Never give up, never surrender.

        #16744
        baaa
        Participant

          >2% gap down again . another test for the system…

          within 2pts of the fill & closed 90% of longs – system does it again for 50+pts ..lol

          hopefully get an 8-10 pts overthrow to get short into

          Nice to see you got your KTS signal K  – my trin signals suggesting that this gets sold for a low below this weeks ….& so the yo-yo goes on…target could be well south , but not get ahead of ourselves

           

          #16745
          cimac
          Participant

            This week it was thought the smart money was long the eur:usd.
            Looking at today’s candle the smart money was .. not so smart.

            Never give up, never surrender.

            #16746
            cimac
            Participant

              Also looks like the robots are running stocks higher to clear out stops.

              Never give up, never surrender.

              #16747
              cimac
              Participant

                China has a two day ww2 victory holiday.
                Next monday is Labor Day in the US.

                So we must add in low volumes, which cranks up the risk.

                Never give up, never surrender.

                #16804
                houdini
                Participant

                  ouch! got burnt on that one..stopped myself out before it got too painful.
                  im still expecting a big rally after the weekend but for now its sinking like a stone,so from what level,who knows?.congrats on the shorts fellas!

                  #16805
                  MAURITIUS
                  Participant

                    Careful Houdini…

                    that JPM quant guy reckons more selling to come and he said that pre -1000 dow too.

                    ok perhaps he could be talking his book but just saying.

                    My guess is we retest the recent lows and probably exceed them.

                    Dan.

                    #16806
                    Khalsa
                    Moderator

                      Sorry to hear that Houd. Its certainly very volatility and hitting extremes. However its good to see it coming down after the “throwover” yesterday.

                      NFP’s are next in at 1.30pm our time

                      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                      #16809
                      houdini
                      Participant

                        had some nice winners lately so its been offset thankfully,im convinced we go up first before we take out last mondays lows.this stinks of pre holiday shenanigans to me.stringent stops will be in place on any more longs though lol.can just see a big gap up opening next week if we close well in the red today.

                        #16823
                        cimac
                        Participant

                          Main focus now will be the Sept FMOC meeting.

                          We have the G20 this weekend but these guys tend to sit
                          around and wait for someone else to do something.

                          Never give up, never surrender.

                          #16833
                          cimac
                          Participant

                            From the Ftse low on 24th August we retraced 500pts
                            and we are inside of that range atm. That fact that we
                            are talking 500pts, gives a clue to the risks.

                            It looks like we are consolidating before another go
                            at that 24th August low.

                            Daily risks are two way because the robots will go
                            after bull and bear stops. Larger frame it looks
                            like the markets are in the do-do. More on this
                            if we can re-test 24th August and produce some
                            count that confirms a pattern.

                            Never give up, never surrender.

                            #16834
                            MAURITIUS
                            Participant

                              Hi Cim,

                              I think they take out those lows but trading it is hard in these crazy volatile markets. Plays with ones emotions.

                              sound like a parrot, but the counterparty risks and gigantic credit out there are a frightening force if they start to come apart.

                              Dan.

                              #16844
                              cimac
                              Participant

                                Hi Dan, whose a pretty boy then 😉

                                “Tesco sells South Korea stores for £4bn”

                                Well this is the sort of thing that happens when
                                the world economy is in contraction, take note.

                                Never give up, never surrender.

                                #16853
                                MAURITIUS
                                Participant

                                  Indeed …. holding some longer term shorts.

                                  The daily Spoos chart looks a bit pennant like.

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