Viewing 15 posts - 46 through 60 (of 245 total)
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  • #33291
    cimac
    Participant

      Thursday is S2 which was tepid’s fav STD trading day
      because it has a high reliable count / options.

      H is am hod pm lod

      L is am lod pm hod

      Let’s see what monkey business this market can do !

      Early first look it appears to be spill up to seal S1H wednesday
      and then down into S2L pt3 thursday

      I would rather watch atm.

      Never give up, never surrender.

      #33292
      cimac
      Participant

        The European Central Bank (ECB) is watching out for signs of a credit crunch,
        as banks are hit by the coronavirus pandemic, the board member
        Isabel Schnabel said on Thursday.

        So you should Isabel 😉

        Never give up, never surrender.

        #33293
        cimac
        Participant

          Dow futures are back up at 28500 where they were when
          the euroland cash markets opened.

          Spx and Nas have not done so yet.

          All futures have seen spikes.

          Never give up, never surrender.

          #33294
          cimac
          Participant

            We are at mid point of the 28/9 to 19/10 astros mimic
            of that seen in March covid19 panic.

            Today the news is all about wave2 and the risk of a
            surge beyond wave1.

            Central banks are worried about a credit crunch and
            that is no surprise as debt dwarfs 2008.

            Yet major stocks rally.

            Never give up, never surrender.

            #33295
            cimac
            Participant

              When US cash opens at a ‘h’ so will euroland cash be at a ‘h’
              and then we see where they want to go hand in hand.

              Bears will hope for a repeat of tuesday 😉

              Never give up, never surrender.

              #33296
              cimac
              Participant

                Ftse Dax Asx all look S2L ‘normal’ with a pm hod.

                Friday S3L and Monday S2H if no flip on saturday.

                Only a surprise event can stop US stocks doing the same.

                Never give up, never surrender.

                #33297
                hatman
                Participant

                  We are at mid point of the 28/9 to 19/10 astros mimic of that seen in March covid19 panic. Today the news is all about wave2 and the risk of a surge beyond wave1. Central banks are worried about a credit crunch and that is no surprise as debt dwarfs 2008. Yet major stocks rally.

                  Merriman said that this period would be a ‘replica’ of the March 20-31 period where we saw the virus panic low followed by a relentless move higher.  The low happened on March 22/23, near the beginning of that period.

                  On Sept 28 we got the ‘panic’ in overnight futures when SPX traded as low as 3196.  Then the market recovered all of that loss and cash actually traded at a new high.

                  Now we are in relentless ‘up mode’ just like March 20-31.

                  Of course anything can happen and these markets can reverse, but I see ‘five ups’ everywhere and I think we are entering ‘wave 3 up’.

                  So the astros people will claim they were ‘correct’.  And they probably were, just not the way we expected.

                   

                  #33298
                  hatman
                  Participant

                    Merriman’s next ‘key date’ is Nov 12.

                    Of course anything can happen, but I think we are going to get a big ‘five up’ as the market realises Trump is going to sail through this election.  Currently at the beginning of ‘wave 3’.

                    Nov 12 is one week after the election.  Quite possible that week could be a ‘blow off top 5th wave’.  Better to travel etc…

                    #33299
                    cimac
                    Participant

                      The astros are right re wave2 etc but wrong re human response
                      because ‘we’ have got bored by this old news.

                      WWII a good example of how humans just keep living / going
                      so this little covid19 thing is a trifle really.

                      However the debt from this covid19 will be around well
                      into 2021 and give the low stock prices in Gann’s work.

                      Never give up, never surrender.

                      #33300
                      cimac
                      Participant

                        STD lean is S3L friday and S2H monday ( if no flip ) with
                        both ‘normal’ outcomes negative.

                        Bears need not get too excited as ‘their’ days may not be
                        a good drop but just a breather for the bulls rally.

                        Until proven otherwise hatman’s view is the one to follow.

                        Never give up, never surrender.

                        #33301
                        cimac
                        Participant

                          History shows that when rulers borrow money they often find a way
                          of not paying it back … see Jews and Knights Templar etc etc

                          In modern times inflation has been used and will be used again
                          to reduce the value of many countries debt.

                          Beware any of you that have large bank deposits !

                          Never give up, never surrender.

                          #33302
                          cimac
                          Participant

                            October options expiry is on friday 16th

                            Spx max pain 3325

                            Never give up, never surrender.

                            #33303
                            hatman
                            Participant

                              SPX:  for the coming week I have us in  wave iii of 3 up with a conventional 1.618 target of 3,529 for iii and around 3613 for 3.

                              Third waves are often relentless and that’s sure what we got last week.

                              If we are indeed in wave iii of 3 the 3,529 target will likely be hit quickly as last weeks upmove continues.

                              At some point there will be a iv before the wave 3 target at 3,613.

                              #33304
                              hatman
                              Participant

                                On the SPX daily chart I see an inverted H&S with the neckline at Khalsas 3430.  I don’t find these patterns particularly reliable but in this instance it’s interesting that the target of 3,640 or so is in the area of my projections for waves 3 and 5.

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                                #33306
                                hatman
                                Participant

                                  Oh, I should have mentioned that if we DO get the five up to 3,680 then that is very likely just ‘wave 1’ of a bigger fives pattern to 4,000…

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