Welcome to the new Khalsaspad › Forums › Traders Talk Forums › Weekly trading discussion threads › January 2014
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cimac.
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January 31, 2014 at 14:21 #4022
Yes, It’s really dirty …. filthy even !
Dan dan the gold bull man..how’s it goin?
January 31, 2014 at 14:55 #4027It’s not Dan it’s Rupert đ
January 31, 2014 at 15:02 #4028He’s Rupert for everything else…just not gold !! Think he must hv a  box of  his old bling hidden away in the shop somewhere.
January 31, 2014 at 15:06 #4029A target for S&P 1767 was on a few watch lists and
it was hit in ooh … does that need an rth hit to
really seal the deal.I’ll let you young US guns decide that later đ
Never give up, never surrender.
January 31, 2014 at 16:12 #4032Ftse move looks decent enough to mark that 6417 as
a potential ‘5’ waves down.Never give up, never surrender.
January 31, 2014 at 16:15 #4034<header>
<h1>Davos insiders?</h1>
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<div>Author:Adam Woods</div>
<div>Jan 31, 2014</div>
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Jim: Hello Adam, and thanks for joining us. Today Iâd like to ask you about the recent turmoil in markets, what was behind it really?Adam There are a few factors that are occurring behind the scenes. First, emerging markets are trading over the map which is spooking developed markets. Second, and the more important reason, is that the Fed is scaling back on QE (printing less money each month to stimulate the market and the economy).
Jim: Markets moved lower BEFORE that Fed announcement though- what do you make of that?
Adam: Ahh, great question and that is what I love about you- you know how to read between the lines and see exactly what is going on.
One day after the worldâs largest investors met in Davos, stock markets across the globe began to fall- very hard. In fact, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell almost 700 points in a few days! Large institutions (after all meeting together in Davos, not a coincidence) aggressively dumped stocks a few days before the Fed said it will taper by another $10B/each month. It is very clear that someone (or some people) knew something.
The World Economic Forum held its annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland. According to its website, The World Economic Forum is members-only and not open to the public. Its Members comprise 1,000 of the worldâs top governments, corporations, banks, and global enterprises usually with more than US$ 5 billion in turnover.
The WEF is an independent international organization committed to improving the state of the world by engaging business, political, academic and other leaders of society to shape global, regional and industry agendas. The WEF was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland.
Again, these are the facts, Iâll allow your readers to draw their own conclusions. Stepping back, Iâm still bullish on stocks and think this was just another head fake by the large institutions to influence prices (so they can buy at better prices).
Jim: Interesting! So, based on what you see now, do you see this as a countertrend correction in an ongoing uptrend, or something more ominous bearing in mind a lot of technical damage has been done now by this recent dip?
Adam: All my proprietary software and indicators tell me that this bull market is still alive and well and this is just another normal (and healthy) pullback within a broader uptrend.
It is very easy for people to get scared on Wall Street. And that is the exact reason why most people lose money, because they make emotional, not rational decisions. Lets put this pullback in the proper perspective. Stepping back, the S&P 500 soared 30% last year and is only down 3% since its record high set a few weeks ago. That is normal and healthy, remember markets take the stairs up and the elevator down.
Meaning they do not just go straight up. They tend to go up, consolidate for a while, then move higher, again and again. Interestingly, support (floor) for the S&P 500 is at 1767-1772 and resistance is at 1812 (ceiling) and then 1850. Yesterdayâs low was 1770.45, which is not a coincidence. Until support is breached, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt.
Jim: And with the Fedâs punchbowl of printed money and bond purchases evidently slowly being withdrawn, will the bond and stock markets stand up on their own two feet now? Have the fundamentals really changed enough for that?
Adam: Not yet- remember the primary catalyst for this entire 4.75 yr bull market in stocks has been easy money from global central banks. As of right now, even with the last two taper announcements, the Fed is still printing $65B/month to stimulate Main St & Wall St.
Keep in mind, in September 2012, when QE 3 was first announced, the Fed said they will print $40B/month, then shortly thereafter they said they will print another $45B/month. This brought the total to $85/month which lasted for all of 2013. So right now at $65B/month that is still larger than when QE 3 was first announced.
Jim: OK so QE (money printing to buy your own debt) very much alive and well, and the bull market intact for now, albeit after a healthy correction?
Adam: Yes. Remember, other central banks are also printing tons of money to stimulate global markets, not just the US.
Jim: Adam, thanks very much.
Adam: As always, my pleasure.
<b>Note from Editor: </b>Adam is the CNBC-quoted hedge fund manager and trading genius whose recommendations were actually UP 55% in 2008 and continues to provide great profits for subscribers to his Midas Wave Alert service. Details here.
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January 31, 2014 at 16:27 #4035The question marks over the Ftse turn, if it is one,
are clouded by EOM on a friday.Not a good weekend, you could say none are, to
have positions open.Never give up, never surrender.
January 31, 2014 at 17:01 #4039ha ha!! well answer the question scoobs…. Â have seen his tackle…lol
January 31, 2014 at 17:04 #4040I did Mr Lizard …. I said it was dirty and filthy !
January 31, 2014 at 17:13 #4041wow Ark ⌠i see that âBoost Issuer plc Natural Gas 3X Short Dailyâ had a -32% move after yesterdays 10% gas ramp. Thatâs more volatile than Gekkoâs underpants !
yeah it was begging for a buy of the short fund :)) , up 25.45% happy days ….
January 31, 2014 at 17:35 #4042ha ha…oh yes! Â MMMMmmm know anyone that would likes licking there balls clean…I mean charlie adams football of course…be a dog of a job or a dogs job even…
January 31, 2014 at 19:07 #4045S&P is gonna fill the gap, lol, amazing !!
January 31, 2014 at 19:27 #4046If today was the low on the Ftse then a target of 6640 which
was the ‘turkey spike’ and also is near to a 0.5 fib retrace
of this move down, should be possible, next week.Unless we break today’s low then no serious short trades for
me until we test 6640 and maybe the next fib circa 6700.Time of retrace should tell us the all important trend.
Never give up, never surrender.
January 31, 2014 at 19:53 #4049Re the US action it maybe a case of funds rebalancing their holdings.
They have to sell before they can buy hence the low to high moves.
Never give up, never surrender.
January 31, 2014 at 20:47 #4050This sell-off isn’t a good sign for early next week
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