FRIDAY 18/10/2013 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

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  • #1623
    Khalsa
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      SYSTEMS FOR FRIDAY 18TH OCTOBER 2013

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 13.50 points in spoos today.

      I have 1 short in Ftse & 18 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB

      We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 01/10/2013.
      IT IS NOW NEGATED AFTER DAY1.

      KTS

      We have a KTS triggered at close on 11/10/2013.
      It is now negated after DAY1.

      We have a KTS5 triggered at close on 08/10/2013.
      It is now negated after DAY2.

      SYSTEM BDIP
      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 14/10/2013.
      TODAY IS DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -14.75.
      DAY2… We got a low of -1.00.
      DAY3… We got a low of -7.50.
      DAY4…

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 10/10/2013.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -12.00.
      DAY2… We got a low of -18.25.
      DAY3… We got a low of -14.75.
      DAY4… We got a low of -1.00.

      DDUD
      We have a DDUD season triggered at close on 11/07/2013.
      It is now negated after DAY2.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      ESL1 NEXT DAY
      GOOD CHANCE OF A -3

      ESHA

      ESL2
      USUALLY GIVES -4/-7

      ES8A
      SHOULD GET+3 AND A -3. DOES NOT ALWAYS CLOSE AT LOWS

      ES92
      USUALLY TREND ONE WAY OR ANOTHER AND CLOSE NEAR HIGHS OR LOWS

      SYSTEM 131 (KHC-3)
      SHOULD GET A -3/-4

      SYSTEM SPXL1
      VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

      Spoos closed at 1727.75  (basis Dec)

      K+3 = 1730.75

      K -3 = 1724.75

      Conclusion

      We have 1 KHC-3 SYSTEMS in play.

      We also have a BDIP DAY4 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #1630
      Khalsa
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        Good morning all, I am late with my usual POSTS, but had a friend over last night and the time just flew before I was totally knackered.

        The good news is that I banked 13.50 points yesterday but the bad news is I got caught shorting the levels I would normally have made a profit and flattened on.

        I have a 1715.50 and 1728.25 short from yesterday.

        I decided to keep them despite the TREND UP basis TRIN yesterday and a possible MS SHORT that never materialised.

        So where now?

        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

        #1631
        Khalsa
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          ROADMAP NOTES

          Looking at SPX we are at the top of a TREND LINE that is a very large ascending wedge. Another top line would be 1745 SPX. Above that is a pure breakout realistically to 1770/1800 SPX and that may constitute the XMAS rally.

          For now it has based and the only exception to this going to 1770/1800 SPX is if this is a final thrust. In any case I cannot see that with TAPERING TALKS off and the can kicked down the road.

          MS wise can trigger but that will just be a very short term signal.

          The next KTS is due, but again on its own without a BDIP combo, it can just be intraday dips and then SU all day.

          TRIN yesterday was very good for bears but fell off at close. Need it over 1 again today ideally to start to build a bearish case.

          Although this may appear overbought, in comparison to MAD MODE’s in recent QE years, its no way near overbought for a CIT.

          TREND UP remains

          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

          #1632
          Khalsa
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            THE LEVELS

            Resistance is at 1733/5. ABove that madness continues.

            Support is at 1725 and then 1722. Below 1720 it can fall

            Good luck

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #1633
            Khalsa
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              Conclusion

              TREND UP remains.

              Next signal from MS will be a short and from KT with be a KTS

              However its back to MAD MODE QE BULL. SO that means all dips are bought.

              We have to continue to assume that until supports get broken. That is THE LEVELS above and the intraday levels I post (SU level, Intraday CIT, support levels etc.)

              For now the MAIN supports are much lower which means TREND UP will remain on normal dips.

              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

              #1637
              Khalsa
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                I would say looking at the SYSTEMS, we should fill the gap today.

                However how high will it go first and where to short for it?

                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                #1638
                Khalsa
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                  THE LEVELS Resistance is at 1733/5. ABove that madness continues. Support is at 1725 and then 1722. Below 1720 it can fall Good luck

                  We just hit 1734.75, I was so tempted and nearly shorted.

                  When it gets into QE MAD MODE, shorting can be so futile. I will wait until near open

                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                  #1639
                  Khalsa
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                    Shorted 1734 at open after it hit 1734.75 again.

                    Limits in to close for 5 points basis gap fill.

                    Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                    #1640
                    Khalsa
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                      GFS triggers.

                      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                      #1641
                      Khalsa
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                        Its a crooksday, anything can happen.

                        Closed 1734 short at 1731 for 3 points.

                        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                        #1644
                        MAURITIUS
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                          Short 1733.63

                          Basis gfs

                          I will close this today one way or another nless EW for Monday isstood for bears…. 🙂

                          #1645
                          Khalsa
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                            Short 1734.25 again basis 1734.75 high in line with RESISTANCE from THE LEVELS

                            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                            #1646
                            Khalsa
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                              This does look so, so perky.

                              Leading indicators at 3pm out time.

                              TRIN again >1 at 1.22 but against that VIX/VXN back to lows.

                              Closing 1734.25 short here at 1734 as I feel I can short higher.

                              Made a measly 0.25 on that

                              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                              #1647
                              Khalsa
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                                Oh dear, what a waste of time this is.

                                GRINDY, GRINDY UP market,

                                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                                #1648
                                Khalsa
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                                  GOOG up 115 to over $1000 now.

                                  This does look like “early high” material on ES.

                                  However I want to short a spike up rather than this garbage

                                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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