Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 208 total)
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  • #28473
    hatman
    Participant

      SPX mega dealer Gamma at 3,100.  They will surely want to pull it up there at some point.

      #28474
      cimac
      Participant

        Dow futures low is the cash low.

        Monday S3L did not close at or near the low
        and was a warning for today.

        After spill down the S4H may give some hope for bulls.

        I have wednesday as bearish.

        Never give up, never surrender.

        #28475
        cimac
        Participant

          Small long Dow at 27400 … stop 26000 … limit 28500 ( x 2 )

          My final attempt as it does go against my tue / wed bearish prediction.

          Never give up, never surrender.

          #28476
          cimac
          Participant

            Small long Dow at 27400 … stop 26000 … limit 28500 ( x 2 )

            My final attempt as it does go against my tue / wed bearish prediction.

            Closed at b/e

            Never give up, never surrender.

            #28477
            hatman
            Participant

              I think it’s clear that the depth of this sharp correction negates my ‘big five up’ theory, and we are back to the alternative ‘rising wedge’.  If so, then we have just completed a ‘three up’ as part of that wedge.  Chart will follow.

              The Bradley caught the top on Nov 30.  Here’s the scrappy combined Bradley chart for 2019/20.  If we ignore the ‘wrong’ size of market movements, we can at least conclude that the Bradley was predicting the ‘highest point’ on Nov 30.  Now it’s suggesting a correction in three waves into mid-January.  That would fit with my rising wedge.

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              #28479
              hatman
              Participant

                Dow:  this is my original rising wedge chart which suggested a peak at or near 28,100.  I think this is the likely route.  Notice that from here a three wave decline back to 27,000 or below would ‘fit’ with the Bradley idea of a correction downwards into mid-January.

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                #28481
                cimac
                Participant

                  Yes a drop to test Dow 27000 looks about right.

                  Never give up, never surrender.

                  #28482
                  hatman
                  Participant

                    GBPUSD keeps trying to break upwards through 1.30 resistance.  A clean break will likely produce a sharp move higher, perhaps with a later retest from above.

                    However until that break comes there is also the risk of failure.

                    I remain long with a small/medium position.

                    #28484
                    hatman
                    Participant

                      GBPUSD:  Thar she blows… cap’n

                      #28485
                      hatman
                      Participant

                        Dow:  need to be very careful here – the drop so far doesn’t have a clean fib relationship.  Sometimes (but not always) this means there is another wave to come, usually equal to 0.618 of the existing drop.  By sheer coincidence (or not) another 0.618 down from yesterday’s close gives exactly 27,000 as a target.

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                        #28487
                        hatman
                        Participant

                          GBPUSD:  sold my long position at 1.3044.  Made a reasonable profit.  I think it wants 1.32 but will/might need to retest 1.30 area from above.  If so I’ll look to go long again.

                          #28488
                          cimac
                          Participant

                            I think a deal will be struck in the US …
                            … Trump will not stand for reelection !

                            Never give up, never surrender.

                            #28489
                            cimac
                            Participant

                              Small short Dow at 27700 … stop tba … limit 27000

                              Never give up, never surrender.

                              #28490
                              cimac
                              Participant

                                I think your right hatman … this needs more time
                                to evolve into your pattern of choice.

                                I will hold my Dow 27700 short … no time limit.

                                Never give up, never surrender.

                                #28491
                                cimac
                                Participant

                                  Small short Dow at 27700 … stop tba … limit 27000

                                  Hold on there boy … my timing project
                                  says Dow futures will exceed 27700 in
                                  the 22:35 – 23:35 gmt window today.

                                  I will close now for +5pts and have to
                                  ‘wing it’ for a higher short entry.

                                  Never give up, never surrender.

                                Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 208 total)
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