Week starting 02/12/13 onwards

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  • #2583
    cimac
    Participant
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      We have many events this week amongst which
      are BoE & EcB rate decisions and NFP.

      Based on the friday action we should know fairly
      soon into monday, which way the wind blows and
      it could be cold or hot 🙂

      Never give up, never surrender.

      #2585
      cimac
      Participant
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        Atm we have a lot of vested interest keeping this bull run
        alive into EOY for bonus payouts etc. Therefore it would
        need quite a shock to prevent a ‘h’ Dec options expiry
        and the Santa rally, imho.

        I plan to wait until 2014 before trading in size and it
        would best suit me to short a decent top, fwiw.

        For now I keep my hand in with small trades in Cable.

        Never give up, never surrender.

        #2589
        lordgaino
        Participant
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          There hasn’t been much of a bull run to keep alive in the ftse over the last month!

          Finger crossed we are seeing an exhaustion low this morning, since as an investor mostly in the London market, i feel a bit shortchanged… 🙁

          #2590
          MAURITIUS
          Participant
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            Several European indices not keeping up.

            Italy is down 1.5% today and Spain never regained 10k after hitting it some time ago….

            #2598
            cimac
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              Well we should take care here incase the bull comes
              back into play again on tuesday for a run up into
              the BoE – EcB – NFP on the thur / fri. This could
              play for stocks and $ FX pairs, imho.

              Hence I will be taking out insurance re Cable a bit
              later today, fwiw.

              Never give up, never surrender.

              #2599
              Khalsa
              Moderator
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                Thanks you CImac. Sorry I have been off this side last few days with a mega mustard FLU. Nasty piece of work this one and cannot shake it off.

                Just hit the brandy hoping that will kill the bacteria lol.

                I have just shorted 1808.50 as I am expecting a good -10/-13 day very soon.

                Here is Merlin for the week who seems to indice that I will go out by that much first and then it comes down

                Today just seems typical WNER.

                chart

                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                #2600
                Khalsa
                Moderator
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                  Well we should take care here incase the bull comes
                  back into play again on tuesday for a run up into
                  the BoE – EcB – NFP on the thur / fri. This could
                  play for stocks and $ FX pairs, imho. Hence I will be taking out insurance re Cable a bit
                  later today, fwiw.

                  Agree NFP’s then crooks quad dec oe and then xmas rally and then new year rally lol

                   

                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                  #2603
                  arkangel
                  Participant
                    • Topics 2
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                    I was away for the weekend so closed all positions on friday, was there any particular reason for the drive into the early close, i.e. a catalyst other than profit taking ? Just curious.

                    #2604
                    Khalsa
                    Moderator
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                      Other than I was itching to short into close but was too scared to in view of WNER, I saw no real reason for the fall.

                      My basis was purely expecting that gap to fill.

                      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                      #2606
                      arkangel
                      Participant
                        • Topics 2
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                        cheers. 1809 was a real battle today watching it. Interesting closing levels across the nas and s&p again and the dow transports…. positive… go figure !

                        #2607
                        arkangel
                        Participant
                          • Topics 2
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                          I don’t watch gold closely but it is interesting at this level too (or the low its about to get close to) I wonder if it will do a technical boing tomorrow.

                          #2609
                          Khalsa
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                            cheers. 1809 was a real battle today watching it. Interesting closing levels across the nas and s&p again and the dow transports…. positive… go figure !

                            Indeed that has been the level in play last week too.

                            Lets see if we can get a -10/-13 day soon.

                            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                            #2611
                            Papillon
                            Participant
                              • Topics 0
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                                Lets see if we can get a -10/-13 day soon.

                               

                              That might be difficult while the transports are diverging, need transports to confirm for a really good down day. Still don’t think the final top is in yet though. 1820 ish, maybe more and may still take some time to get there.

                              #2612
                              WavingNotDrowning
                              Participant
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                                ASX 200 @ Mon 2 Dec 13

                                From the September 27th post: “The May/June sell-off counts well as wave-4, altering the target range to 5315 – 5480 (red horizontals).”

                                See the DAILY and WEEKLY charts. Today’s breach of the potential 1st wave low at 5284 (green horizontal) suggests this down leg could bottom around 5050, near apparent support from the key moving averages (gold 200dsma and magenta 65wema).

                                That could turn out to be another higher-low, or it could be just A of a larger 3-wave correction. Time will tell.

                                A breach of the 4th wave low at 4632 (magenta horizontal) would promote the view that a 5-wave rally from August 2011 topped on October 28th at 5395.

                                To date the rally from March 2009 has retraced a Fibonacci 62.6% of the sell-off from the 2007 all-time-high.

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                                #2615
                                cimac
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                                  Good to hear you beat the flu ‘K’.

                                  I took action lastnight and closed my two Cable
                                  shorts for a combined b/e.

                                  Opened again at 1.6383 but this is a guard only
                                  against a surprise drop as I expect we will go
                                  into 1.64’s or more before this tops out.

                                  Never give up, never surrender.

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