WEDNESDAY 23/09/15 SYSTEMS AND INTRADAY

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  • #17338
    Khalsa
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      SYSTEMS FOR WEDNESDAY 23RD SEPTEMBER 2015

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in Spoos today.

      I have 4 shorts in spoos & 2 swing positions in spoos open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB
      We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 14/09/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY3.

      KTS
      We have a KTS triggered at close on 17/09/2015.
      TODAY IS DAY4.

      SYSTEM BDIP

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 16/09/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -15.75.
      DAY2… We got a low of -34.00.
      DAY3… We got a low of -12.00.
      DAY4… We got a low of -45.75.

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 15/09/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -7.00.
      DAY2… We got a low of -15.75.
      DAY3… We got a low of -34.00.
      DAY4… We got a low of -12.00.

      DDUD
      We have a DDUD Season triggered at close on 14/08/2015.
      TODAY IS DAY 28.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      ESL1 NEXT DAY
      GOOD CHANCE OF A -3

      SYSTEM ESA (KHC+3)
      SHOULD GET +3/+5/+7, HOWEVER IT CAN BE AFTER A DRAWDOWN, CLUE IS TRADING > +2.

      SYSTEM ESH1
      MORE CHANCE OF UPSIDE THAN DOWNSIDE, USUALLY TRADE -VE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET +3, IF NO +3 THEN RARELY CLOSES AT LOWS, DOWNSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE. CHANCES OF +5, +7 ALSO. ALSO THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A +3 THE NEXT DAY

      ESL2
      USUALLY GIVES -4/-7

      ES 5C (KHC+3)
      USUALLY GIVE A +3 AND CLOSES POSITIVE. RARELY CLOSES AT LOWS

      ES16A

      SYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3

      SYSTEM 72 (KHC +3)
      SHOULD GET +3,+5 POSSIBLY MORE. DOWNSIDE USUALLY LIMITED TO -5.

      SYSTEM 81 (KHC+3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3,+5 SPXB MORE CHANCE OF POSITIVE THAN NEGATIVE.

      SYSTEM SPXH1
      CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTH

      SYSTEM SPXL1
      VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING >+5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

      Spoos closed at 1931.50 (basis Dec)

      K+3 = 1934.50

      K-3 = 1928.50

      Conclusion

      We have 5 KHC+3 SYSTEMS in play.

      We have a DDUD SEASON DAY28 & KTS DAY4 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #17339
      MAURITIUS
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        -7 done…

        I think if the positive systems hit it could be a decent short…..

        what dya reckon… I think the flags broke nicely and should see more southerly movement in coming days….. (That’s polloxed it!)

         

        #17340
        smashie212
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          Plenty more fireworks this week.

          Think chinese  PMI data comes out wed.

          #17341
          Khalsa
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            Plenty more fireworks this week. Think chinese PMI data comes out wed.

            Yes and its out and tanked both China and all futures.

            Recent ES lows were 1898.75 and then a secondary one at 1907.75.

            For now (until $VOLD) or some other signal, I have to stay short.

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #17342
            Khalsa
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              Amazingly the dynamics have all changed.

              If China is really slowing down then no reason for Oil to be holding up?

              In other words its all smokes and mirrors.

              The crooks killed off all bears and made a killing.

              Now they want to play the short side and do the opposite.

              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

              #17343
              Khalsa
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                Oh please, not another overnight spike low

                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                #17344
                Khalsa
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                  Oh I suppose its only another double DDUD (+20) off lows.

                  Maybe one into open and one into close nowadays lol.

                  Pump, pump, pump away

                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                  #17345
                  Khalsa
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                    BDIP is over, so I hope that was not the last dip.

                    An upday runs the risk of another KTB triggering.

                    We need a pop and drop.

                    Yesterday’s gap is at 1963 lol. Better not be a target!

                    More seriously though I still feed we have more downside to go

                    Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                    #17346
                    MAURITIUS
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                      Yes it feels like a rally to sell but last night’s low was about the same level as Sainsburys Low – the night I shorted 1912 and went to Sainsburys  ?

                      20 pt rally …. Yes I can’t help feeling we see it fall to test the spike low of the limit down day. The wedge  is screaming ‘get short’. Why now of all times am I wary of shorting? Me… Mustard Bear. The phschology is amazing and the fact I closed shorts yesterday makes me think it has lower to go.

                      I am going somewhere today I haven’t been since October 2014 lows …..

                      #17347
                      smashie212
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                        BDIP is over, so I hope that was not the last dip. An upday runs the risk of another KTB triggering. We need a pop and drop. Yesterday’s gap is at 1963 lol. Better not be a target! More seriously though I still feed we have more downside to go

                        Kman surprised it did not trigger already as y’day trin went above 3.7

                        #17348
                        smashie212
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                          Yes it feels like a rally to sell but last night’s low was about the same level as Sainsburys Low – the night I shorted 1912 and went to Sainsburys 20 pt rally …. Yes I can’t help feeling we see it fall to test the spike low of the limit down day. The wedge is screaming ‘get short’. Why now of all times am I wary of shorting? Me… Mustard Bear. The phschology is amazing and the fact I closed shorts yesterday makes me think it has lower to go. I am going somewhere today I haven’t been since October 2014 lows …..

                          Still feel we will visit low 1800’s then 1500’s maybe next year. Sharp bull rallies in-between know doubt.

                          #17349
                          Khalsa
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                            BDIP is over, so I hope that was not the last dip. An upday runs the risk of another KTB triggering. We need a pop and drop. Yesterday’s gap is at 1963 lol. Better not be a target! More seriously though I still feed we have more downside to go

                            Kman surprised it did not trigger already as y’day trin went above 3.7

                            Me too Smashie as at one point it looked like triggering.

                            It actually moved further away by the close, so hopefully that is good for bears

                            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                            #17350
                            Khalsa
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                              OK good luck all.

                              There was no gap at open and hence no gfs

                              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                              #17352
                              Khalsa
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                                lol on bloomie and CNBC its just the Pope speaking.

                                He finished with God Bless America (and their stockmarkets)

                                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                                #17353
                                Qman
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                                  Tank after Europe closes?

                                   

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