WEDNESDAY 22/01/2014 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

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  • #3632
    Khalsa
    Moderator

      SYSTEMS FOR WEDNESDAY 22ND JANUARY 2014

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in spoos today.

      I have 1 short in Ftse, 19 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB

      We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 14/01/2014.
      TODAY IS DAY5.

      KTS
      We have a KTS5 triggered at close on 02/01/2014.
      It is now negated after DAY8.

      SYSTEM BDIP

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 14/01/2014.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -1.50.
      DAY2… We got a low of -7.00.
      DAY3… We got a low of -7.00.
      DAY4… We got a low of -8.00.

      DDUD
      None in play.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      SYSTEM ESF
      CAN BE A TRENDING DAY. IF NO +3 AND THEN IT TRADES <-4, IT CAN THEN TREND DOWN. LIKEWISE IF NO -3 AND THEN IT TRADES >+4, IT CAN THEN TREND UP.

      SYSTEM ESL1
      MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAY

      SYSTEM SPXF
      MORE CHANCE OF A +3 THAN A -3. IF SPX GAPS DOWN THEN IT USUALLY NEGATES THE POSITIVE CALL AND CAN BE A NEGATIVE SYSTEM

      SYSTEM SPXL1
      VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

      Spoos closed at 1838.50 (basis Mar)

      K+3 = 1841.50

      K-3 = 1835.50

      Conclusion

      We have NO KHC SYSTEMS in play.

      We have a KTB2 DAY5 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #3633
      Khalsa
      Moderator

        Come on KTB, go away!

        Having missed yesterdays action, I am over it now.

        We closed right on resistance at 1836 and after this it is back to 1841 and then 1844/6 area.

        Support is at 1835 and below that it can try and fall.

        Ideally for me this needs to fall tomorrow to avoid looking bullish again.

        I will happily close my 9551.50 DAX for 30-50 points.

         

        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

        #3634
        Khalsa
        Moderator

          Very frustrating that still one cannot predict direction but that has been the right thing and I feel vindicated by the fact it has not trended.

          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

          #3635
          Khalsa
          Moderator

            That is very annoyiong. I have had 8 points or so many times in DAX but just closed at 9749 for 2.50 points profit.

            I am not sure about ES as we hit 1836 (vs 1835 support) overnight.

            SO I played safe and did not risk converting a profit into a loss.

            DIYD DIYD?

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #3636
            Khalsa
            Moderator

              aaaarrrrgggghhhh

              If I simply stayed in bed I would’ve done better

              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

              #3638
              Qman
              Participant

                Double aaaarrrrg. I’m away and 5 hours behind uk time. Got in at midnight (5am uk) and talked myself out of shorting 1843 as only gut feeling. Wake to see it back down

                #3639
                Khalsa
                Moderator

                  Sorry to hear that Qman.

                  Atleast like me it made a mug out of us without us losing dosh. That is a saving grace

                  Now it looks back up again so dare not short

                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                  #3640
                  Khalsa
                  Moderator

                    Opening pop and drop.

                    Gap fill is at 1838.50 which is support.

                    Main support below that at 1836.25. Globex low is at 1834.75.

                    So for me that 1835/6 is the area it needs to support

                    Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                    #3641
                    Khalsa
                    Moderator

                      Opening pop and drop. Gap fill is at 1838.50 which is support. Main support below that at 1836.25. Globex low is at 1834.75. So for me that 1835/6 is the area it needs to support

                      Low was 1836.25 to the dot. That suggests onwards and upwards for now.

                      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                      #3642
                      Khalsa
                      Moderator

                        So annoyed I missed yesterday and am here today for this rubbish.

                        Low was 1835 then bang on 1835/6 support.

                         

                        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                        #3643
                        Khalsa
                        Moderator

                          Come on KTB, go away! Having missed yesterdays action, I am over it now. We closed right on resistance at 1836 and after this it is back to 1841 and then 1844/6 area. Support is at 1835 and below that it can try and fall. Ideally for me this needs to fall tomorrow to avoid looking bullish again. I will happily close my 9551.50 DAX for 30-50 points.

                          Well support was support, I was too scared to long it there.

                          Now we look at 1841 which is where we are now and then 1844/6 where I can short even though if that breaks its 1860 before a big move down imo

                          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                          #3646
                          Qman
                          Participant

                            Longed DOW cash @16340. Too unsure to go with ES long. Ever considered a system to pick the rally out of Euro close Kman?

                            #3647
                            smashie212
                            Participant

                              <div class=”d4p-bbt-quote-title”>Khalsa wrote:</div>
                              Opening pop and drop. Gap fill is at 1838.50 which is support. Main support below that at 1836.25. Globex low is at 1834.75. So for me that 1835/6 is the area it needs to support

                              Low was 1836.25 to the dot. That suggests onwards and upwards for now.

                              A new high could come with the FOMC meeting next week..

                              #3648
                              Khalsa
                              Moderator

                                Ah man, I got to do something.

                                It is a trading range and we are fearing a breakout and hence not trading.

                                Problem is it is easier to short than long and yet its more perky than the risk of down

                                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                                #3649
                                Khalsa
                                Moderator

                                  Short 1839.

                                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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