Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 247 total)
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  • #30286
    cimac
    Participant

      I will not be trading today because I want
      to see if we get a drop and by how much.

      My focus must remain with my analysis and
      what it is telling me.

      Never give up, never surrender.

      #30287
      Khalsa
      Moderator

        Nice one Chris.

        For me it’s Short Dax at 10707. It may go back to globex highs but should be lower.

        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

        #30288
        cimac
        Participant

          Bears have a shot at friday gap fill.

          It’s the transition from bear to bull, which
          my project indicates will be sharp, that is
          a concern for trading the gap fill.

          We will all learn something by tuesday
          night, at the latest.

          Never give up, never surrender.

          #30289
          Khalsa
          Moderator

            This is what Merlin says this week.

            chart

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #30290
            Khalsa
            Moderator

              Absolutely no doubt about it, the US indices have had a phenominal recovery and that is the bit that concerns me, it is too much too soon, considering the damage from Covid19 is yet to play out.

              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

              #30291
              cimac
              Participant

                Cheers ‘K’

                No idea how Merlin generates the forecast but
                apart from one day it is on the same page
                as my bull/bear project.

                QED … any drop early this week is false.

                Never give up, never surrender.

                #30292
                Khalsa
                Moderator

                  I don’t want to close it as my plan is for down, but I just have to take the Dax (from this morning) profits.

                  Closed at 10476 for 231 points.

                  Still got the Cac from Friday at 4501.4.

                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                  #30293
                  cimac
                  Participant

                    Well done ‘K’

                    To close the Dow gap requires circa 23500

                    I want to fade this gap close so …

                    Small long Dow at 23795 … stop 23000 … limit 25000

                    That’s my initial position and I will await some form
                    of conformation that we do not go lower.

                    We could close the gap with a gap down which would fit
                    with the drop and pop that fits the expected cit.

                    Never give up, never surrender.

                    #30294
                    Khalsa
                    Moderator

                      Thanks Chris. Good luck to you with your long.

                      The next step for me is to see if we gap down today (surely we will) and then if we can gap fill today.

                      I will only be able to “Guess” that at open

                      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                      #30295
                      cimac
                      Participant

                        There are too many variables and Dow cash traders have
                        the benefit of seeing the fair size Dow futures range.

                        A sharp move was always on the cards and we may get
                        more than one in either direction !

                        Never give up, never surrender.

                        #30296
                        cimac
                        Participant

                          Dow is S3 lean unknown because S1 was saturday.

                          Where and when does pt5 print.

                          I’ll leave where to one side but place pt5 circa 16:30
                          which is slighty off norm to allow for wind 🙂

                          Never give up, never surrender.

                          #30297
                          hatman
                          Participant

                            SPX:  if this is still part of the possible ‘five up’ then this could be a small second wave (of some degree) ahead of stronger markets for the rest of the week.  If so, then a 38.2 retrace is at 2834, and area worth watching.

                            I don’t have a position.  For me, 2,900 remains key and I want to see what happens there.

                            #30298
                            hatman
                            Participant

                              GBPUSD:  there has a sharp rally from the 1.14 low and makes me wonder if the possible falling wedge has completed.

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                              #30300
                              cimac
                              Participant

                                David … I like your spx outline.

                                The level at which a potential wave down ends is a real brain teaser
                                so I will not over load the old noggin and just pick a level 😉

                                Never give up, never surrender.

                                #30301
                                cimac
                                Participant

                                  Dow on monday is Cycle Day 1 … doesn’t matter where
                                  it starts from, the market will seek out support.

                                  That is the theory.

                                  Never give up, never surrender.

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