TUESDAY 16/06/2015 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

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  • #14263
    Khalsa
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      SYSTEMS FOR TUESDAY 16TH JUNE 2015

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 20 points in Spoos today.

      I have 1 Long in spoos, 4 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB
      We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 27/05/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY6.

      KTS
      We have a KTS2 triggered at close on 11/06/2015.
      TODAY IS DAY3.

      SYSTEM BDIP
      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 10/06/2015.
      TODAY IS DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -3.25.
      DAY2… We got a low of -19.00.
      DAY3… We got a low of -22.25.
      DAY4…

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 09/06/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of 0.
      DAY2… We got a low of -3.25.
      DAY3… We got a low of -19.00.
      DAY4… We got a low of -22.25.

      DDUD
      We have a DDUD Season triggered at close on 04/06/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      ESH1 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3, IF IT GAPS DOWN THEN IT CAN GIVE A DDDD AND THEN BOUNCE AND MAKES A +3 LESS LIKELY.

      ES 5C NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
      SHOULD GIVE A +3

       

      ESA2 (KHC+3)
      VERY GOOD CHANCE OF +3,+5,+7 MAY BE +10, RARELY CLOSES AT HIGHS, CAN COME VIA A -3

      SYSTEM ESL1
      MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAY

      ES16A

      ES18 (KHC+3)
      GOOD CHANCE GAP UP OPEN, LOW TRADE -3 POSSIBLE, VERY GOOD CHANCE OF +VE CLOSE AND NEAR HIGHS, CHANCE OF +5,+7,+10

      SPX 19 (KHC+3)
      SHOULD GIVE +3/ +5. POSSIBLE GAP & GO DAY.

      SYSTEM SPXL1
      VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

      Spoos closed at 2075.75 (basis Jun)

      K+3 = 2078.75

      K-3 = 2072.75

      Conclusion

      We have 5 KHC+3 SYSTEMS in play.

      We have a BDIP DAY4 & KTS2 DAY3 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #14264
      MAURITIUS
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        Seems positive except for ESL1….

        nothing doing here for now….remain flat.

        #14265
        Khalsa
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          Stellar double BDIP & KTS combo so far.

          I think a good chance of a +5/+7/+10 today and the gap at 2085 to fill should fill.

          However 2087 is the resistance to break and until then they can sell rallies.

          Caveat remains crooks quad OE this week.

          Also until the 100 DMA SPX recovers target can be 200 DMA SPX.

          Lets see where we are in the morning.

           

          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

          #14267
          MAURITIUS
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            Interesting chart….

            http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-15/single-most-important-chart-last-century

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            #14269
            Khalsa
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              Good morning all,

              We have printed a -4 as a low so far.

              Nothing more happening really for me to do anything yet

              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

              #14270
              Khalsa
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                Oops -8 now

                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                #14274
                Qman
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                  Oops again -12

                   

                  #14278
                  MAURITIUS
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                    Perhaps we need a qe4 to make it proper parabolic…..? Would not surprise me…. I think it would have less effect than the previous but still enough to pump markets some more. That is unless something like DB blows up.

                    I am more liking the precious metals day by day as if they qe more it is good for them. If it tanks big time it is good for them. I guess this recent sideways action is not, but normally only sideways for 9 of 12 months…

                    I longed gold with a 1400 October call option yesterday. Bought at 1.5.

                    If gold went ballistic, as at some point believe it will, a bet like this would make a killing. Many bets may fail as gold goes sideways/ down but when it finally goes parabolic  I see no reason why it couldn’t go from say 1200 zone today to 3500 zone in days/ weeks. Maybe they just revalue it. No idea how they will do it but one way or the other it will eventually be much higher. Just don’t ask me for the day…lol

                    that in mind if  you sacrificed £1000 a quarter on said bets. £4000 a year, then one day if it went from 1400 to 3500 you’d clear up. If you could buy at 1.0 (higher than that today (1.5) but has been there) then a move to 3500 would net you £2.1 million.

                    Of course IG or whoever would likely invoke ‘force majeure’ or something crooked but has to be worth a look.

                    It is feeling very year 2000 to me. Something somewhere has to give soon. I do think stocks will be savaged but am worried another bout of QE may pump them first.

                    Must go do some work on the garden…. Laterz

                    Dan.

                     

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                    #14282
                    Qman
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                      “work” in the garden……..yeh, yeh

                      Have a cold one for me!

                      #14283
                      MAURITIUS
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                        A wing of Greece’s anti-austerity Syriza party is eyeing a plan to default on government debt and replace the euro with its own national currency in case negotiations on a bailout with its creditors fail, media have reported.

                        RT

                        #14284
                        MAURITIUS
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                          “work” in the garden……..yeh, yeh Have a cold one for me!

                          not til this evening for that…

                          I am doing accounts nonsense… In the sunshine…. Fantastic outdoor office..

                          #14290
                          anissut
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                            Took 10 points on a long from this morning.  Flat now.

                            #14292
                            MAURITIUS
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                              Nice one Anis,

                              I longed Couer Mining at 551 and 558. They were 7300 plus in 2006 so given I expect silver to exceed those highs by multiples then I think this is reasonably close to a no brainer. Of course a company could go bust waiting for the rise, but I doubt it. Some silver miners are operating below cost of production at the moment. At some point that has to reflect in price. There again with bloody crooks everywhere like JP Morgan you never know.

                              Also added another couple of units long to October gold call at 1395. Paid 1.5.

                              #14293
                              Khalsa
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                                Stellar double BDIP & KTS combo so far. I think a good chance of a +5/+7/+10 today and the gap at 2085 to fill should fill. However 2087 is the resistance to break and until then they can sell rallies. Caveat remains crooks quad OE this week. Also until the 100 DMA SPX recovers target can be 200 DMA SPX. Lets see where we are in the morning.

                                High so far is 2083.75.

                                It should get to 2085 imo and that 2087/7 is the do or die area next

                                We got the +5/+7 and just the +10 to go and then if it wants back down, it can.

                                Limits in to close yesterdays 2073.50 long for 10 points (having just missed taking it manually)

                                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                                #14294
                                Khalsa
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                                  Limits hit at 2083.50 for 10 points on that long.

                                  Super yeehaa. I vowed to do no longs but I broke that only because I felt yesterday it was worth it. This morning I was worried so decided to walk away and stick to my plan. It paid off!

                                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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