TUESDAY 14/06/2016 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

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  • #22821
    Khalsa
    Moderator

      SYSTEMS FOR TUESDAY 14TH JUNE 2016

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 24.50 points today.

      I have 1 Short in Ftse, 8 shorts in spoos & 2 swing positions in spoos open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB
      We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 16/05/2016.
      It is now negated after DAY3.

      KTS
      We have a KTS triggered at close on 09/06/2016.
      TODAY IS DAY3.

      SYSTEM BDIP
      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 06/06/2016.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -1.75.
      DAY2… We got a low of -3.75.
      DAY3… We got a low of -11.75.
      DAY4… We got a low of -26.50.

      DDUD
      We have a DDUD triggered at close on 04/05/2016.
      It is now negated after DAY16.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      ESH1 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3, IF IT GAPS DOWN THEN IT CAN GIVE A DDDD AND THEN BOUNCE AND MAKES A +3 LESS LIKELY.

      ES 5C NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
      SHOULD GIVE A +3

      ESA2 (KHC+3)
      VERY GOOD CHANCE OF +3,+5,+7 MAY BE +10, RARELY CLOSES AT HIGHS, CAN COME VIA A -3

      ESA7 (KHC+5)

      ESH2 (KHC+3)
      CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7,+10. HOWEVER FAILURE TO PRINT +3 USUALLY RESULTS IN DOUBLE DIGIT DOWN DAY. DOES NOT USUALLY CLOSE AT HIGHS.

      ES5
      SHOULD GET +3,+5 BUT RARELY CLOSES AT HIGHS

      ES 5B
      CAN GIVE UPTO +5 & -5. INITIAL DIRECTION IS USUALLY A FADE.

      ES 5C (KHC+3)
      USUALLY GIVE A +3 AND CLOSES POSITIVE. RARELY CLOSES AT LOWS

      SYSTEM ES8 (KHC+3)
      MORE CHANCE OF UPSIDE THAN DOWNSIDE. USUALLY GIVES A +3.

      ES13 (KHC+3)
      SHOULD GET A +3. CAN ALSO GET A GOOD NEGATIVE PRINT-3, -5, -7

      SYSTEM 81A (KHC-5)
      USUALLY GIVES A BIG NEGATIVE PRINT AND CLOSES NEGATIVE, BUT IT CAN BE VIA A +3/+5

      SYSTEM SPXH1
      CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTH

      SYSTEM SPX5
      Not much lower in RTH, High +4/+5, HOWEVER IF SPX GAPS DOWN OPEN IT CAN BE A SERIOUS NEGATIVE SD DAY

      SYSTEM SPX5B
      TRENDING SYSTEM, IF SPX TRADES > -3 LOW THEN CAN GET +3/+5, IF SPX TRADES < -3 SHOULD GET -3/-5, IF HIGH TRADED IS < 3 THEN SD DAY AND CLOSE NEGATIVE

      SPX18A

      Spoos closed at 2069.25 (basis Sep)

      K+3 = 2072.25

      K-3 = 2066.25

      Conclusion

      We have 7 KHC+3, 1 KHC+5 & 1 KHC-5 SYSTEMS in play.

      We have a KTS DAY3 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #22823
      MAURITIUS
      Participant

        Drop and pop or opposite?

        #22825
        Khalsa
        Moderator

          CLosed 2107.25 short at 2076 for 31.25 points.

          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

          #22826
          Khalsa
          Moderator

            Good, back to normal for a bit.

            Banked 30 points each day for the last 3 days.

            Sure it may go lower but on the whole I lose in expiry week, so I got to stick to the basics that have made me my money trading. Its why I am still alive today in this game after all these years.

            Survival of the fittest.

             

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #22827
            Khalsa
            Moderator

              The chart on the left is Soyabeans where we were long from 870’s

              The chart on the right is Oil where we were long and now short.

              Attachments:
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              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

              #22835
              Khalsa
              Moderator

                Right amazingly the 2065 hit which was the old 2060/3/5 area of support.

                That is my LIS now. Its a do or die level.

                Next target is 2044 area if it breaks

                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                #22836
                Khalsa
                Moderator

                  ES 5C really helped me 2 days in a row.

                  Always seems to trigger when the market is about to go bearish

                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                  #22837
                  Qman
                  Participant

                    Break down or (more likely) ping up 30 or 40 points for OE?

                    I love a bit of excitement…..

                    #22838
                    Khalsa
                    Moderator

                      Well Q if you want it down go long small stake, you can’t go wrong , win, win.

                      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                      #22839
                      smashie212
                      Participant

                        More on VIX :

                        Only 8 other times VIX jumped 40% in 3 days and SPX fell 3% or less.

                        Up 7 of 8 times a month later with avg return of +1.9%. Median +2.7%.

                        #22840
                        Khalsa
                        Moderator

                          Is that saying SPX will go up 1.9%, 2.7% a month later or a return on a short?

                          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                          #22841
                          Khalsa
                          Moderator

                            aaarrrghhhh 8pm WCB.

                            When will that change and we get a good crookshour tank.

                            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                            #22842
                            smashie212
                            Participant

                              FED tomorrow, can’t believe its down here. closed my shorts too early  😥

                              #22843
                              smashie212
                              Participant

                                Is that saying SPX will go up 1.9%, 2.7% a month later or a return on a short?

                                Ryan has a good track record:

                                https://twitter.com/RyanDetrick?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

                                #22844
                                Khalsa
                                Moderator

                                  Thanks Smashie, well total spike low at 8pm for crookshour.

                                  Now this I always hate.

                                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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