TUESDAY 07/01/2014 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

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  • #3294
    Khalsa
    Moderator

      SYSTEMS FOR TUESDAY 7TH JANUARY 2014

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked -3 points in spoos today.

      I have 1 short in Ftse, — shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB

      None in play.

      KTS
      We have a KTS5 triggered at close on 02/01/2014.
      TODAY IS DAY3.

      SYSTEM BDIP

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 31/12/2013.
      TODAY IS DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -24.50.
      DAY2… We got a low of -6.00.
      DAY3… We got a low of -6.00.
      DAY4…

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 27/12/2013.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -3.00.
      DAY2… We got a low of -0.75.
      DAY3… We got a low of -24.50.
      DAY4… We got a low of -6.00.

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 26/12/2013.
      It is now negated after DAY4.
      DAY1… We got a low of -3.25.
      DAY2… We got a low of -3.00.
      DAY3… We got a low of -0.75.
      DAY4… We got a low of -24.50.

      DDUD

      None in play.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      ESA7 (KHC+5)

      SYSTEM ESH1
      MORE CHANCE OF UPSIDE THAN DOWNSIDE, USUALLY TRADE -VE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET +3, IF NO +3 THEN RARELY CLOSES AT LOWS, DOWNSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE. CHANCES OF +5, +7 ALSO. ALSO THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A +3 THE NEXT DAY

      ES13 (KHC+3)
      SHOULD GET A +3. CAN ALSO GET A GOOD NEGATIVE PRINT-3, -5, -7

      SYSTEMSPXH1
      CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTH

      Spoos closed at 1820.50 (basis Mar)

      K+3 = 1823.50

      K-3 = 1817.50

      Conclusion

      We have 1 KHC+3 & 1 KHC+5 SYSTEMS in play.

      We have a BDIP DAY4 & KTS5 DAY3 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #3295
      Khalsa
      Moderator

        Well it seems like the quadruple BDIP did not lie and worked its way though all the EOY pollux.

        I managed to lose 3 points trading yesterday even though at many points after I did the trade I was in profit.

        My reasons were all outlined yesterday.

        So where now?

        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

        #3296
        Khalsa
        Moderator

          THE LEVELS

          Resistance is at 1826 and then 1832/3 ish Above that it can rally.

          Support is at 1817 and then 1814. Below that it continues to fall

          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

          #3297
          Khalsa
          Moderator

            It is very hard for me to decipher whether this is just unwinding the EOY pollux or whether this is a bone fide retrace.

            My guess is it is unwinding the pollux and we are not ready to fall in earnest yet.

            We have NFP’s on Friday

            MS target us below at 1812. We got to the trigger point yesterday at 1817.

            I am swing short but somehow I do not trust this as a sell off. This fall at the start of the year looks and feels like a trap.

            I will take one day at a time until I feel confident to predict the next direction.

            In hindsight the quadruple BDIP should have been backed but as I say EOY and New Year pollux is a total gamble

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #3298
            MAURITIUS
            Participant

              looks like a positive day tomorrow…..

              perhaps I should hedge one of my shorts….

              #3300
              Khalsa
              Moderator

                THE LEVELS

                Resistance is at 1826 and then 1832/3 ish Above that it can rally. Support is at 1817 and then 1814. Below that it continues to fall

                High so far 1825.

                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                #3301
                Khalsa
                Moderator

                  So 

                  looks like a positive day tomorrow….. perhaps I should hedge one of my shorts….

                  So far, yes Dan. The key is breaking up resistances. If it does that, then its off back up.

                  If not then we can carry on down.

                  This time of year is usually a bluff and double bluff, so still not anxious to steam into anything. I tried that yesterday and lost 3 points. Since then I would have been in profit many times including overninght

                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                  #3306
                  smashie212
                  Participant

                    take it no GFS ?

                    #3307
                    Khalsa
                    Moderator

                      Just got back from my usual Tuesday prison voluntary service.

                      I seeit was bullish then as per SYSTEMS and all the recent days did was unwind pollux before we moved back up.

                      This looks like more upside to go still and possibly back towards 1846.50.

                      I will want to short that area.

                      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                      #3308
                      Khalsa
                      Moderator

                        1828.50 now SU level and 1833.50 intraday CIT

                        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                        #3309
                        MAURITIUS
                        Participant

                          GFS didn’t trigger Kman?

                          I suspect not.

                          Reacted off the SU level…..grrrrr

                          #3310
                          Khalsa
                          Moderator

                            No GFS today Dan.

                            Next signal from MS will be a short.

                            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                            #3311
                            MAURITIUS
                            Participant

                              Maybe a donkey on the edge at close…

                              #3312
                              Khalsa
                              Moderator

                                Now reacting at intraday CIT level.

                                Breakup likely imo

                                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                                #3313
                                Khalsa
                                Moderator

                                  Still stuck at intraday CIT level.

                                  Now the main support is at 1827/8.

                                  Break that and TREND is down, hold that and we are on our way back up

                                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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