THURSDAY 6/02/2014 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

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  • #4226
    Khalsa
    Moderator

      SYSTEMS FOR THURSDAY 6TH FEBRUARY 2014

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked +15 points in spoos today.

      I have 1 short in Ftse, 2 Long in spoos, 13 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB

      We have a KTB triggered at close on 05/02/2014.
      TODAY IS DAY1.

      KTS
      We have a KTS5 triggered at close on 02/01/2014.
      It is now negated after DAY8.

      SYSTEM BDIP
      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 28/01/2014.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -24.00.
      DAY2… We got a low of -3.50.
      DAY3… We got a low of -19.75.
      DAY4… We got a low of -44.75.

      DDUD

      None in play.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

       

      ESL1 NEXT DAY
      GOOD CHANCE OF A -3

      ESL2
      USUALLY GIVES -4/-7

      ES101 (KHC+3)
      SHOULD GET A +3 /+5

      SYSTEM SPXL1
      VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

      SPX4A

      Spoos closed at 1744 (basis Mar)

      K+3 = 1747

      K-3 = 1741

      Conclusion

      We have 1 KHC+3 SYSTEMS in play.

      We also have a KTB DAY1 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #4227
      Khalsa
      Moderator

        Well great bankings daily still but certainly yesterday I felt that having identified 1751 as resistance, I missed the trades.

        Also because I had guests I missed the Early Warning and hence missed the KTB at close.

        I see it is +3 already and it will be back down to 1751 now as resistance which will be a +7.

        For now we remain in TREND DOWN but with room to bounce and also there is a potential target of 1762.25 ($VOLD +30 target)

        More in the morning as for now we are in NML but with a KTB.

         

         

        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

        #4228
        Khalsa
        Moderator

          OK I maybe wrong but this looks like it will break up imo and go up.

          Its been so whippy and volatile lately and turned on a dime intraday, but thats what I see.

          With the KTB, I do believe it can happen.

          My guess for now though is it will all be a contra rally (if it happens) and then go further down.

          Any rally may peak into NFP’s

          Lets see

          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

          #4229
          Khalsa
          Moderator

            Good morning all,

            A high of +5.50 overnight to 1749.50 is no surprise.

            With NFP’s tomorrow, lets see

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #4230
            Khalsa
            Moderator

              Right guys, I am going to pop out now for a bit. I hope to be back for open, but maybe not.

              If Navnit is here I will ask her to post GFS and levels once RTH starts.

              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

              #4232
              MAURITIUS
              Participant

                +12 print so far…

                ktb doing it’s job.

                with the $vold target too it’s tempting to long but I will wait for a short signal and do nothing for now.

                Dan.

                #4234
                Khalsa
                Moderator

                  The GFS has not triggered today.

                  Navnit

                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                  #4235
                  MAURITIUS
                  Participant

                    wow zoom to +17

                    1761 done….

                    #4236
                    MAURITIUS
                    Participant

                      Very tempted to short 1761…. but with no gfs I will refrain.

                      #4237
                      Qman
                      Participant

                        Tempted to short @ 15600 DOW, or keep powder dry for last hour sell off

                        #4239
                        MAURITIUS
                        Participant

                          1767 held as support on way down and we have nearly hit it on way up now. Resistance?

                          It is tempting still to short but with ktb and $vold in force it is wise to wait I think. See what tonight’s systems throw up.

                          It’s hard doing nothing ;p

                          #4241
                          MAURITIUS
                          Participant

                            http://www.cnbc.com/id/101395618

                            The recent emerging market sell-off was the final tweet of the canary in the coal mine, according to Albert Edwards, Societe Generale’s uber-bearish strategist, who now predicts a global recession with equity valuations dropping to their lowest levels in a generation.

                            #4244
                            MAURITIUS
                            Participant

                              Brain cabbaged… just did a risk assessment…..

                              #4245
                              Khalsa
                              Moderator

                                Tempted to short @ 15600 DOW, or keep powder dry for last hour sell off

                                I would have shorted the roundie if I was here for sure

                                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                                #4246
                                Khalsa
                                Moderator

                                  Right its good to be back but even better that I walked away.

                                  I have learnt time and time again that its not good to be here on a KTB/$VOLD.

                                  Had I not been busy last night with guests the Early Warning would have picked that up and I could have longed it.

                                  SO for now let it do its job. More than likely I will short for a 7.30pm high but ideally the close today as it could go up in crookshour.

                                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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