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SYSTEMS FOR THURSDAY 11TH FEBRUARY 2016
Hi all,
Recap ….
Intraday wise …. I banked 10 points in Spoos today.
I have 2 Longs in Oil, 2 shorts in spoos & 2 swing positions in spoos open.
Onto today …
KP
None in play.KTB
We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 03/02/2016.
It is now negated after DAY5.KTS
We have a KTS triggered at close on 10/02/2016.
TODAY IS DAY1.SYSTEM BDIP
None in play.DDUD
We have a DDUD triggered at close on 08/01/2016.
It is now negated after DAY14.SYSTEMS TRIGGERED
ESH4 ND
SHOULD GET A +3ESL2 NEXT DAY (KHC-4)
GIVES -4/ -7SYSTEM 81A ND (KHC+5)
CAN BE A DDUD PRINT ALSOSYSTEM ESG (KHC+3)
SHOULD GET +3 MINIMUM, CAN GO TO +5,+7,+10.ESH5 (KHC+5)
ES13B(KHC+5)
SHOULD GIVE +3/+5 AND POSSIBLE POSITIVE CLOSESYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
USUALLY GIVES +3SYSTEM 81 (KHC+3)
USUALLY GIVES +3,+5SYSTEM SPXG
More chance of upside than downside. Usually get +3,Trading > +3 SPX = chances of +5, +7,+10. Could also gap up open.SYSTEM SPXH1
CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTHSYSTEM SPX1A
CAN GET +5 SPX, CLOSE CAN BE ERRATIC. ANY GAP UP OPEN NEED NOT FILL THE SAME DAY, BUT ANY GAP DOWN OPEN SHOULD FILL THE SAME DAY.Spoos closed at 1847 (basis Mar)
K+3 = 1850
K-3 = 1844
Conclusion
We have 3 KHC+3, 3 KHC+5 & 1 KHC-4 SYSTEMS in play.
We have a KTS DAY1 in play.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Wow we have ESG / SPXG combo also.
So hopefully KTS will give us a pop and drop and not runaway up with ESG / SPXG combo.
Tug of war … Combo vs KTS
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Just as it was looking a bit easier….ESG/SPX combo!! Been burnt by that before.
Having said that, after KTS trigger we should expect a pop before drop? Perhaps that combo just gives us a really nice pop to short – easy after all!
Kman – any chance of levels sooner rather than later (within a point will do ????)
Quote:
Whilst most of the world has concentrated on the Chinese question the woes of the Greek market have somehow passed under the radar. No headlines this time around about the disastrous state of the Greek economic situation BUT….. Greek Government 10 yr bond yields are now over 10% (Germany’s are almost zero), the Athens stock exchange is at its lowest since 1990 and is almost half (yes half) the level it was at when the situation was ‘saved’ by the EU back in August 2015.The point about Greece is not that the country is that important on a global economic scale (it has about 0.3% of global trade) it is just that it focuses the mind on the sovereign debt pile that the world shows no sign whatsoever of reducing. With Zero inflation and not much more GDP growth any increase in the debt of EU states increases the whole future burden. The EU kicked the Greek question down the road last year. Even though every single commentator knew that the solution was mad the politicians were obviously hoping that the problem would not surface again for a few years by which time (in the classic case of political cop outs the world over) it might become “someone else’s problem” but this time the solution has lasted barely six months and the same actors are still on the stage.. Another 80 Billion of Euros would appear to have gone west and the country is falling into chaos once again.
Oscar is starting session with “seller of big rallies” posture
in gold, a buyer of big dips….
Right we saw a -15 last night.
It makes it highly tricky here as without a pop I cannot add to shorts.
So all I can do is long. Long 1836
Long DAX 8881.2
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
I hope its the right thing to do Q.
The other scenario is that we are in a BEAR TREND. We consolidated (got my bounce to 1875) and now on way down again.
Recent low is 1821.75, so that needs to be a double bottom area.
Personally my bias today was a pop first then drop away
Europe not looking good and supportive so far aka OIL
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
This is just like the BEAR also for MS.
Ie. we got an MS short yesterday that has turned out to be a cit possibly
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
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