THURSDAY 03/12/2015 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

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  • #18551
    Khalsa
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      SYSTEMS FOR THURSDAY 3RD DECEMBER 2015

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in Spoos today.

      I have 10 shorts in spoos & 2 swing positions in spoos open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB
      We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 01/12/2015.
      TODAY IS DAY2.

      KTS
      We have a KTS triggered at close on 20/11/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY6.

      SYSTEM BDIP
      None in play.

      DDUD
      We have a DDUD triggered at close on 27/11/2015.
      TODAY IS DAY4.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

       

      ESL1 NEXT DAY
      GOOD CHANCE OF A -3

      SYSTEM ESE
      GET +3 AND -3 BOTH. CAN BE A TRENDING DAY ONCE WE TRADE >+4 OR < -4 AND CLOSE POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE RESPECTIVELY

      SYSTEM ESH1
      MORE CHANCE OF UPSIDE THAN DOWNSIDE, USUALLY TRADE -VE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET +3, IF NO +3 THEN RARELY CLOSES AT LOWS, DOWNSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE. CHANCES OF +5, +7 ALSO. ALSO THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A +3 THE NEXT DAY

      SYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3

      SYSTEM 72 (KHC +3)
      SHOULD GET +3,+5 POSSIBLY MORE. DOWNSIDE USUALLY LIMITED TO -5.

      SYSTEM SPXE
      MORE DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, CHANCES OF -4,-7, THE CLUE TO A DOWN IS SPX TRADING NOT MORE THAN +3, SPX TRADING > +3 GIVES CHANCE TO A POSITIVE CLOSE. IF SPX DOES NOT TRADE MUCH NEGATIVE IT CAN BE A SU SYSTEM BUT DOES NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS.

      SYSTEM SPXH1
      CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTH

      SYSTEM SPX5
      NOT MUCH LOWER IN RTH, High +4/+5, HOWEVER IF SPX GAPS DOWN OPEN IT CAN BE A SERIOUS NEGATIVE SD DAY

      SYSTEM SPX5B
      TRENDING SYSTEM, IF SPX TRADES > -3 LOW THEN CAN GET +3/+5, IF SPX TRADES < -3 SHOULD GET -3/-5, IF HIGH TRADED IS < 3 THEN SD DAY AND CLOSE NEGATIVE

       

      Spoos closed at 2082 (basis Dec)

      K+3 = 2085

      K-3 = 2079

      Conclusion

      We have 2 KHC+3 SYSTEMS in play.

      We have a KTB2 DAY2 & DDUD DAY4 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #18552
      MAURITIUS
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        So KTB survived?

        #18556
        Khalsa
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          Yes Dan.

          Low yesterday was 2075 vs 2070 idea.

          As I said yesterday I hate FED pollux induced falls and we are +7 already.

          I will post some levels and analysis shortly. Below the 2070 KTB can negate

          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

          #18557
          Qman
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            FED Pollux yesterday and ECB today – along with a rebound on oil it’s bound to zoom – SPX back to 2100+?????

            #18559
            MAURITIUS
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              Hedged my shorts…

              4 longs on march contract vs 5 shorts on December

              crooked qe a possibility and dollar is a bull flag to 103/106 (oscar). QE from Draghi may do it.

              Need to play safer here with that mustard soraking. That ‘whatever it takes’ speech cost me all those years ago. He is ex Goldman too….

              How odd if they do qe and Fed raises rates (I v doubt they will) but they are polar opposites..

               

              #18561
              Khalsa
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                I suppose safety first Dan.

                Simple analogy, US raises rates, ECB more QE, means USD goes up and hence US financial assets go up.

                Its the DDUD season that is the sole factor giving me hope that we may go down first.

                Lets see when US opens but before that we got Draghi talking where he will release QE figures. It is currently set at $60 billion. What will he raise it to?

                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                #18562
                Khalsa
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                  Silver and Gold have shot up, which is absolutely super.

                  In both of those for a move up now.

                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                  #18563
                  Khalsa
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                    lol DAX just lost 300 points in 5 minutes

                    Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                    #18564
                    MAURITIUS
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                      Bloody mustards..

                      #18565
                      Qman
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                        DAX to limit down? – lol

                        Total bonkers…..

                        DAX down 3%

                        FTSE down 1%

                        SPX down – 1 POINT!!!!!!

                        #18566
                        MAURITIUS
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                          SPX was up 13 mind…. -5 now…

                          is he still talking,,, perhaps he delivers a bazooka at the end?

                          bloody mustards ..totally hate them more than ever….

                           

                          #18567
                          MAURITIUS
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                            National Bank of Greece was nearly 80 in October. 8.5 now.

                            #18568
                            Qman
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                              I’ve told you before Dan – Greece was sorted…….forget it……it’s all fine now!!

                              #18569
                              Khalsa
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                                lol DAX just lost 300 points in 5 minutes

                                lol was 400 points in about 10 minutes. Now bouncing.

                                 

                                 

                                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                                #18570
                                Khalsa
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                                  Bloody mustards..

                                  lol Dan, no worries mate, they have bounced it 15 from lows already.

                                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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