Khalsa's Thoughts (KT) for the medium term

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  • #180
    Khalsa
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      This is where I will post medium term thoughts

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #1859
      Khalsa
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        Much against the fear of this being runaway up with the current MAD MODE TREND UP QE market, this is going to go into a phase of double DDDD’s soon. Ie -20 or more from the high and the daily ranges will be -20 or 20+ points.

        It should start this week with a good pop and drop day. It can involve a final hoorah, so there maybe a good spike up that closes negative on the day.

        FOMC rate decision is on Wednesday 30th and I am going for that as a high +/- a day.

        SPX closed at 1762.11 and I am looking for a initial swift 20 point fall and then another 30 point fall. ie 50 points down from here for starters.

        The clue will be an uptrending TRIN and a spike in TRIN / VXN / VXN.

        Lets see.

        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

        #6330
        Khalsa
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          A multi month drop can begin anytime now that we have had a KTS trigger, BDIP’s and MS recently.

          The jigsaw is complete. It will not need news / excuse to turn. It will just turn.

          It should drop to around 1860/80 imo.

          The only question remains; from where?

          I really do not envisage 2000 SPX yet, maybe by year end if we are still in a bull.

          So that means really a max of 1960/1980 at this stage as a worst case.

          Best case is 1955/60 which we have really hit now.

          Hopefully this will be a post to remember and it is why I am posting this also in more medium term / long term Khalsa’s thought’s thread

          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

          #6333
          Khalsa
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            I need to be somewhere else today and will not be back until around 6pm.

            In a way it is a good thing, hopefully I will not spook early out of any shorts.

            See you all later and good luck

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #6334
            Khalsa
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              Come on Europe. Europe does not believe that the US is really weak (currently -5).

              It feels that US can WCB at any time and hence Europe does not want to fall.

              If Europe can now join in, then its more hopeful for bears

              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

              #6337
              Khalsa
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                Believe it or not, this is weak and the short term charts are on the verge of turning down.

                1943 is support.

                1948 is resistance.

                It is SU below 1947.50.

                Intraday CIT is at 1950.75.

                This is where we are up to now.

                So 1947.50/1948 is first resistance and then 1950.75. Above that its back to printing a +3/+5 and SU into close.

                If it can stay below and break 1943 down, then I do feel the gap at 1938.50 can fill

                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                #6339
                Khalsa
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                  Another lost day by the bears.

                  What a great shame

                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                  #6340
                  Khalsa
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                    The good news or the bad news?

                    The bad news is KTS has negated

                    The good news is KTS has negated.

                    Brilliant.

                    On trigger for the next KTS.

                    That “should” seal “a top”

                    Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                    #6341
                    Khalsa
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                      The last 9 days we have closed within 3 points of the HOD.

                      Thats some run.

                       

                      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                      #6342
                      Khalsa
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                        1943/5 remains the support into tomorrow to break

                        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                        #6343
                        Khalsa
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                          here we go again. closing 3 points within the high.

                           

                          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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