FRIDAY 16/10/2015 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

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  • #17955
    Khalsa
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      SYSTEMS FOR FRIDAY 16TH OCTOBER 2015

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in Spoos today.

      I have 7 shorts in spoos & 2 swing positions in spoos open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB
      We have a KTB triggered at close on 14/10/2015.
      TODAY IS DAY2.

      KTS
      We have a KTS triggered at close on 12/10/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY2.

      SYSTEM BDIP
      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 09/10/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -8.25.
      DAY2… We got a low of -5.75.
      DAY3… We got a low of -19.75.
      DAY4… We got a low of -11.25.

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 05/10/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -12.50.
      DAY2… We got a low of -8.00.
      DAY3… We got a low of -16.00.
      DAY4… We got a low of -8.25.

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 02/10/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -5.75.
      DAY2… We got a low of -12.50.
      DAY3… We got a low of -8.00.
      DAY4… We got a low of -16.00.

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 30/09/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -18.50.
      DAY2… We got a low of -33.00.
      DAY3… We got a low of -5.75.
      DAY4… We got a low of -12.50.

      DDUD
      We have a DDUD triggered at close on 08/10/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY 3.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      ESH2 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3

      ESH
      USUALLY GET +3 AND -3. MORE CHANCE OF -3. NORMALLY IS A DOJI TYPE DAY WITHIN +5 AND -5. TRADING < -5 GIVES CHANCE TO SD DAY

      SYSTEM ESL1
      MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAY

      SPX4B

      SYSTEM ES7
      POSSIBLE DOJI DAY, CAN BE WHIPPY AND UNTRADEABLE, ANY GAP UP OPEN SHOULD FILL THE SAME DAY. ITS NOT A SU MARKET AND RARELY MAKES MUCH PROGRESS.

      ES8A
      SHOULD GET+3 AND A -3. DOES NOT ALWAYS CLOSE AT LOWS

      ES9
      SHOULD GET +3 AND -3 AND CHANCE OF POSITIVE CLOSE

      SYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3

      SYSTEM 80
      USUALLY GET -3. IF IT GAPS UP OPEN, THEN USUALLY NOT MUCH DOWNSIDE PAST -3 AND CAN CLOSE +VE. USUALLY DOES NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS. SMALL CHANCE OF BEING A DDDD DAY

      SYSTEM SPXL1
      VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

      SPX3B
      SHOULD GET +3/+5, -3/-5. DOJI TYPE DAY WITH A CLOSE WITHIN THAT RANGE

      SYSTEM SPX7
      STARTS OF LOOKING LIKE TRENDING BUT DOES NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS OR LOWS

      SYSTEM SPX9
      SHOULD NOT MAKE MUCH UPSIDE PROGRESS, IF LOW < -3 GOOD CHANCE OF NEGATIVE CLOSE. ANY GAP OPEN SHOULD FILL THE SAME DAY.

       

       

      Spoos closed at 2018.50 (basis Dec)

      K+3 = 2021.50

      K-3 = 2015.50

      Conclusion

      We have 2 KHC+3 SYSTEMS in play.

      We have a KTB DAY2 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #17956
      Khalsa
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        Nothing whatsoever conclusive to the downside sadly.

        Only hope is that KTB DAY2 is a go nowhere day.

        Shame the downside was limited to just the 30 point breakdown as we need to start on the jigsaw from the start again

        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

        #17958
        Khalsa
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          Charts wise what a horrible move yesterday (zoom)

          This seems like a total cabbage now (so false)

          It seriously looks like another zoom ahead.

          More study may reveal something but for now onwards and upwards remains

           

          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

          #17959
          smashie212
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            u mean like this :

            s.png

            #17960
            Khalsa
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              The reason I am saying nothing is becuase I have nothing to say

              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

              #17961
              Qman
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                Did it open?

                #17962
                Qman
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                  No doubt the pause before even more up

                  #17963
                  Khalsa
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                    The zoom

                    The cabbage

                    The zoom

                    looks like another WNER spectacular coming

                    Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                    #17964
                    Qman
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                      The reason I am saying nothing is becuase I have nothing to say

                      Doesn’t stop my wife!

                      #17965
                      Khalsa
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                        lol Q, true and definitely not mine!

                        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                        #17966
                        Khalsa
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                          Europe closes, starts going mad after close and now ES wants to go up too.

                          I really implore you all to be careful. This is M<AD MODE at its best. We do not know where it will end.

                          Double top?

                          Lower high?

                          Higher High?

                          Absolutely no logic

                          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                          #17967
                          smashie212
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                            Also kman, read somewhere that all this year, in the run up to ECB announcements -markets have consistently rallied. Where we would normally expect an opex top ( today or monday) it may be delayed until the 22nd  when they meet next. by which time we could quite easily close the gap above.

                             

                            #17968
                            Khalsa
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                              The good news though is that the next signal from MS will be a short

                              Also TRIN is confusing me. Itrs telling me this move up is false.

                              So there are some caveats here

                              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                              #17969
                              Khalsa
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                                FWIW 2016 is the SU level for today (seems a whipsaw anyway)

                                2003 is the ongoing CIT level

                                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                                #17970
                                Khalsa
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                                  and the low was 2015.75.

                                  Glad to see the mustards are still respecting the levels (supports)

                                  Crooks.

                                  I do not see them respect resistances

                                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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