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SYSTEMS FOR FRIDAY 15TH NOVEMBER 2013
Hi all,
Recap ….
Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in spoos today.
I have 1 short in Ftse & 19 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.
Onto today …
KP
None in play.KTB
We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 24/10/2013.
IT IS NOW NEGATED AFTER DAY4.KTS
We have a KTS triggered at close on 31/10/2013.
It is now negated after DAY6.SYSTEM BDIP
We have a BDIP triggered at close on 13/11/2013.
TODAY IS DAY2.DAY1… We got a low of -1.25.
DAY2…
DAY3…
DAY4…We have a BDIP triggered at close on 08/11/2013.
It is now negated after DAY4.DAY1… We got a low of -3.25.
DAY2… We got a low of -9.00.
DAY3… We got a low of -10.75.
DAY4… We got a low of -1.25.We have a BDIP triggered at close.
It is now negated after DAY4.
DAY1… We got a low of -12.25.
DAY2… We got a low of -0.75.
DAY3… We got a low of -23.00.
DAY4… We got a low of -9.00.DDUD
We have a DDUD season triggered at close on 11/07/2013.
It is now negated after DAY2.SYSTEMS TRIGGERED
ESL1 NEXT DAY
GOOD CHANCE OF A -3ESH
USUALLY GET +3 AND -3. MORE CHANCE OF -3. NORMALLY IS A DOJI TYPE DAY WITHIN +5 AND -5. TRADING < -5 GIVES CHANCE TO SD DAYESL2
USUALLY GIVES -4/-7SYSTEM ES3
SHOULD GET -3. UPSIDE AND DOWNSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE. LOWS TRADED SHOULD BE LOWER THAN HIGH TRADED, SHOULD NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS, IF WE TRADE < -3 CHANCE OF -7, -10.SYSTEM ES7
POSSIBLE DOJI DAY, CAN BE WHIPPY AND UNTRADEABLE, ANY GAP UP OPEN SHOULD FILL THE SAME DAY. ITS NOT A SU MARKET AND RARELY MAKES MUCH PROGRESS.ES8B
SYSTEM 59
SYSTEM 62
MORE DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE. USUALLY GIVES -3,-5. RARELY CLOSES AT HIGHS. EVEN WHEN THE SYSTEM FAILS YOU SEEM TO GET A SPOOS -2.SYSTEMSPX3
SHOULD GET -3/-5. IF SPX TRADES < +3 HIGH THEN CHANCE OF TRENDING DOWNSPX 7B
SYSTEM SPXL1
VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEMSpoos closed at 1787.75 (basis Dec)
K+3 = 1790.75
K-3 = 1784.75
Conclusion
We have NO KHC SYSTEMS in play. Any gap up open should be filled on the same day as per ES3 and ES7.
We have a BDIP DAY2 in play.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Sorry just quick post today as I have a splitting headache from really overworking this week to the max.
Looking for a -5/-7 today despite it being crooksday.
Also MS triggered short at close at 1788 (missed it) but its not far from that now.
Target there is 1783.
Lets see but I am short from 1785.75 already as a day position and will add if its higher in the morning.
More in the morning.
Good night
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Good morning all,
I think thats a great trade Dan even if it is a crooksday and you go out first.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Phew patience is indeed a virtue.
Short 1792 for a gap fill later basis MS
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
FWIW
I am pretty sure both ES and SPX should be an undershoot of 1800 leading to a minimum 30 point breakdown.
The problem is today is crooksday and Monday WNER and week after week we know that shorting for a down move on those days has been rather futile.
However my bias today of a gap fill and possible -5/-7 remains for now today.
MS short into close tells us that.
Target remains 1783 for today
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Good luck all.
The question is do I close at gap fill or run to 1783 MS target?
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
FWIW I am pretty sure both ES and SPX should be an undershoot of 1800 leading to a minimum 30 point breakdown. The problem is today is crooksday and Monday WNER and week after week we know that shorting for a down move on those days has been rather futile. However my bias today of a gap fill and possible -5/-7 remains for now today. MS short into close tells us that. Target remains 1783 for today
There goes my idea of an post-opex retrace :
http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_operation_schedule.html
Almost $5.75 billion MONDAY (x2 WNER)
$3.5 billion Wednesday
$5.25 billion Thursday
Good luck shorting into that wall of money. I’d say 1800+ was on the crooks card…
Thats mad Smashie, complete nuts.
Sadly I did not close despite having 4 points profit.
We shall see, MS should be a madnet really
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Today’s POMO is the smallest of the week, so best chance of a retrace, but alas it is crooks day
aaarrrgghhh indeed Smashie.
The YAWN YAWN YAWN has started
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
So looks like we are looking to Crookshour for an MS fill or else on WNER Monday…. Unless of course the world does end in which case we are going to Ark’s for a few beers…lol
FWIW I am pretty sure both ES and SPX should be an undershoot of 1800 leading to a minimum 30 point breakdown. The problem is today is crooksday and Monday WNER and week after week we know that shorting for a down move on those days has been rather futile. However my bias today of a gap fill and possible -5/-7 remains for now today. MS short into close tells us that. Target remains 1783 for today
Futile it was. So over to wner day now but undershoot of 1800 looks so unlikely sadly.
Unless ofcourse something over the weekend makes that happen.
Definitely an interesting period next week
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
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