FRIDAY 04/12/2015 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

[Khalsa]

SYSTEMS FOR FRIDAY 4TH DECEMBER 2015

Hi all,

Recap ….

Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in Spoos today.

I have 10 shorts in spoos & 2 swing positions in spoos open.

Onto today …

KP
None in play.

KTB
We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 01/12/2015.
TODAY IS DAY3.

KTS
We have a KTS triggered at close on 20/11/2015.
It is now negated after DAY6.

SYSTEM BDIP
None in play.

DDUD
We have a DDUD triggered at close on 27/11/2015.
TODAY IS DAY5.

SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

 

ESH1 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
USUALLY GIVES +3, IF IT GAPS DOWN THEN IT CAN GIVE A DDDD AND THEN BOUNCE AND MAKES A +3 LESS LIKELY.

ESA2 (KHC+3)
VERY GOOD CHANCE OF +3,+5,+7 MAY BE +10, RARELY CLOSES AT HIGHS, CAN COME VIA A -3

ESH2 (KHC+3)
CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7,+10. HOWEVER FAILURE TO PRINT +3 USUALLY RESULTS IN DOUBLE DIGIT DOWN DAY. DOES NOT USUALLY CLOSE AT HIGHS.

SYSTEM ESL1
MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAY

SYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
USUALLY GIVES +3

SYSTEM 72 (KHC +3)
SHOULD GET +3,+5 POSSIBLY MORE. DOWNSIDE USUALLY LIMITED TO -5.

SYSTEM 81A (KHC-5)
USUALLY GIVES A BIG NEGATIVE PRINT AND CLOSES NEGATIVE, BUT IT CAN BE VIA A +3/+5

SYSTEM SPXH1
CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTH

Spoos closed at 2051.25 (basis Dec)

K+3 = 2054.25

K-3 = 2048.25

Conclusion

We have 5 KHC+3 & 1 KHC-5 SYSTEMS in play.

We have a KTB2 DAY3 & DDUD DAY5 in play.

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

I like the KHC-5 lol.

OK no seriously the DDUD season is behaving as it should, ir pop and drop. DDUD’s intraday that get sold off.

I am going to ignore the KTB as it has failed now so hence although its not negated using the raw components, it is negated for me on the basis its failed (ie we are below 2070)

All over to NFP’s for a super crooksday.

 

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[MAURITIUS]

http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/7305/sp-500-update

This is worth a read….

[MAURITIUS]

Bought an s&p 1250 put for march at 1.75

that must qualify me as big bearish super mustard!!

[MAURITIUS]

Fully short basis khc-5 .

may reduce at -5

[Khalsa]

What do you mean Dan? Have you just closed all the long hedges?

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[MAURITIUS]

Khalsa wrote:

What do you mean Dan? Have you just closed all the long hedges?

yep but may reduce short size on a -5

[MAURITIUS]

Fire bombs in Athens…

What a world! The abyss beckons! 😮

[Khalsa]

Looks like its heading to 2063/5. That is a MUST HOLD

Is this just the DDUD pop and drop?

Hard to say but I will stay put as I am but am scared because I do feel that sometime before crooks quad oe it will put on something silly like 70 points within days.

I do have a feeling that we got lower to go first though.

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

+10 prints.

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

High was 2062.75 then vs 2063/5

Lets see

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

NFP’s 211k jobs created

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

Mustard Gold and silver tanked

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

Strong numbers, so rates up is a certainty imo now

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

Let the fun begin at open.

I think a good chance still of more downside.

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Author]

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