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KHALSA ? RE
DDUD
We have a DDUD season triggered at close on 29/01/2015.
It is now negated after DAY16.KHALSA ?
Did DDUD trigger at close on FRI 6/3/2015 ?TKS
LORDIAfrom my KPAD notes
THE KTS AND WHAT ONE CAN EXPECT
The characteristics are usually a small pop (not necessary) the next morning, followed by a drop and a -3. This is a phenomenon of the Bull phase (2003 onwards)
Where we gap up open, then upside becomes unsustainable and we nearly always gap fill. In the old days (pre March 2003 Bear) it was just simply a drop and drop to -3 and beyond.Any KTS targets? Well in the old days (Bear) it could drop 60-80 handles pretty fast. Recently (in the Bull) it has been pretty useless and just been a small CIT for minimum 10-15 points from today’s high. The max drawdown should be no more than 12 points from the trigger day close price.
The KTS has had failures since March 03 if you are looking for an immediate down the next day. However when a KTS fires its always an early warning for a CIT and could be a multi day pop and drop. Ie up on DAY1 but then down on DAY2.
Since March 03, its always been a pop and drop and gives you a spoos -3 minimum. Therefore waiting until the next day can give you a better price (ie short the pop before the drop). You can get a +3,+5,+7 maybe even +10 to short the next day. Was not the case pre March 03, but has become a characteristic since.
Where it fails to sometimes give a -3 (but rarely fails to pop and drop) is when it triggers on a large downday. Those days it could rally to +3/+5,+7 and then drop back. Also when it triggers on a large downday, those days could be when we get the multiday pop and drop.Nearly always a KTS was a CIT. However when it failed to immediately trend down on the first KTS, it was sometimes followed by another KTS after a few days and that was the immediate nail in the coffin.
Problem is sometimes the drawdown was 10-20 points on the First KTS, before the next one.
Nearly always if it went up and did not give the -3 after the trigger, then next day was quite a nice down day.
Therefore I look to short the POP for the KTS once I see a good entry the next day.
best regards to all
lordiaMaybe one more high before a sharp decline ( or not! all fwiw )
<h3 style=”color: #000000; font-family: Georgia, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; background-color: #ffffff;”><span style=”font-size: 12pt;”>http://www.safehaven.com/<wbr />article/35101/raj-time-and-<wbr />cycle-review-and-forecast-sep-<wbr />11-2014</span></h3>
Best regards to all Kpadlordia
Maybe one more high before a sharp decline ( or not! all fwiw )
<h3 style=”color: #000000; font-family: Georgia, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; background-color: #ffffff;”><span style=”font-size: 12pt;”>http://www.safehaven.com/<wbr />article/35101/raj-time-and-<wbr />cycle-review-and-forecast-sep-<wbr />11-2014</span></h3>
Best regards to all Kpadlordia
<span style=”color: #292929;”>from Smartpredictor Blog</span>
<p style=”color: #292929;”></p>
<p style=”color: #292929;”>http://smartpblog.wordpress.com/</p>
<p style=”color: #292929;”>$spx – week of July 7th, 2014 – potential for mini-crash.</p>
<p style=”color: #292929;”></p>
<p style=”color: #292929;”>$spx remains on SELL against 1984 $spx SELL trigger on Monday based on Smartp System. Subs were advised to SELL SELL SELL on Monday.</p>
<p style=”color: #292929;”>A dramatic decline is possible before this week is out. If this does ensue it will hit 1926 $spx.</p>
<p style=”color: #292929;”></p>
<p style=”color: #292929;”>Best wishes</p>
<p style=”color: #292929;”>Lordia</p>from Smartpredictor Blog
http://smartpblog.wordpress.com/
$spx – week of July 7th, 2014 – potential for mini-crash.
$spx remains on SELL against 1984 $spx SELL trigger on Monday based on Smartp System. Subs were advised to SELL SELL SELL on Monday.
A dramatic decline is possible before this week is out. If this does ensue it will hit 1926 $spx.
Best wishes
Lordia
from Smartpredictor Blog
http://smartpblog.wordpress.com/
<header class=”entry-header” style=”color: #666666;”>
<h1 class=”entry-title”>$spx – week of July 7th, 2014 – potential for mini-crash.</h1>
<div class=”entry-meta” style=”color: #aaaaaa;”>Posted on <time class=”entry-date” style=”font-style: italic; color: #999999;” datetime=”2014-07-08T21:27:50+00:00″>July 8, 2014</time><span class=”byline” style=”font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit;”> by <span class=”author vcard” style=”font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit;”>smartpredictor</span></span> <span class=”sep” style=”font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit;”>| </span><span class=”comments-link” style=”font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit;”>Leave a comment</span></div>
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<div class=”entry-content” style=”color: #666666;”>
<p style=”font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit;”>$spx remains on SELL against 1984 $spx SELL trigger on Monday based on Smartp System. Subs were advised to SELL SELL SELL on Monday.</p>
<p style=”font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit;”>A dramatic decline is possible before this week is out. If this does ensue it will hit 1926 $spx.</p>
<p style=”font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit;”>best wishes</p>
<p style=”font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit;”>Lordia</p></div>
Tepid
send an email to my old email address lordia@iol.ie and I will forward you what I can get
best regards
lordia
Tepid, you may get them at the old pad
best regards Lordia
For now the old site is still available via the following link.
http://khalsaspad.com/old/index.php?name=Forums
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will scale in some shorts today, but be prepared for a POMO ramp up as the Fed are pumping in about $4billion today, second largest amount this month.
: http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_operation_schedule.html
best regards
lordia
will scale in some shorts today, but be prepared for a POMO ramp up as the Fed are pumping in about $4billion today, second largest amount this month.
: http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_operation_schedule.html
best regards
lordia
