Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 105 total)
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  • #26262
    cimac
    Participant

      Welcome to Santa’s month.

      Never give up, never surrender.

      #26263
      cimac
      Participant

        When I came back to kpad my view was that the Dow had spent most
        of 2018 in a 4th wave down with a 5th wave and new ath to come.

        I still think that is correct because it’s not been proven wrong.

        Have we gone low enough to complete 4th wave ?

        Yes we have but it was not clear cut enough to be sure.

        My line in the sand is Dow 25800 for my in 4th to in 5th switch.

        Never give up, never surrender.

        #26264
        cimac
        Participant

          Very late and then very very late friday I took a big risk to open
          the following trades –

          Small short Dow at 25550 and 25575 .. stop 25800 .. target 24000

          I would not have done this had I not have some profits banked
          since my return. I will risk all those profits and half expect
          to start 2019 with the trading pot I started with.

          This trading sequence will be my only focus for 2018.

          Right or wrong I will learn and adapt.

          Never give up, never surrender.

          #26265
          kitsu
          Participant

            Morning Cimac , Thanks for keeping the thread open and sharing ideas.

            I find it very difficult to predict where this is going and only know basic Elliot wave.

            I follow one person with an initial upside target of 2867 and then 3026 from the recent Thanksgiving day double bottom .

            There seems to be  a lot less corellation between the European and US markets of late. The FTSE just used to follow the US but has not really done much in the past few weeks.

            So looking at FTSE for a but in to year end if it starts to show strength

             

            #26266
            cimac
            Participant

              Hi kitsu

              Ftse and Dax not interested in a rally atm.

              Dow could be heading for yet another odd retrace point
              between 0.618 and 1.0 and like last time, it’s tricky
              for traders, as things look very bullish, then drop.

              Goodluck with whatever you decide to trade.

              Never give up, never surrender.

              #26267
              cimac
              Participant

                W. D. Gann financial table ( extended version ) of years.

                2019 High stock prices
                2020 Panic
                2021 Low stock prices

                That fits in with US presidential year cycle where 2019 is bullish.

                That would also fit with my 5th wave to come theory.

                I may have to change trains … but wait for Dow 25800 station !

                Never give up, never surrender.

                #26268
                cimac
                Participant

                  Wow a big gap up … half expected really.

                  Futures have taken out stops above Dow 26000 sp500 2800
                  and Dax 11500 but Ftse stops above 7100 ok so far.

                  Never give up, never surrender.

                  #26269
                  cimac
                  Participant

                    I was stopped at the 25800 station .. extended platform though.

                    I don’t want to go long at 26025 after such a gap up.

                    May as well build my new position and test this gap.

                    Small short Dow at 26025 … time target late tuesday.

                    Never give up, never surrender.

                    #26270
                    cimac
                    Participant

                      I don’t want to go long at 26025 after such a gap up.

                      Small short Dow at 26025

                      Closed at 25868

                      Never give up, never surrender.

                      #26271
                      cimac
                      Participant

                        Small short at Dow 25800

                        To cover a late low and or gap close.

                        Very difficult day for bulls and bears !

                        Never give up, never surrender.

                        #26274
                        cimac
                        Participant

                          Small short at Dow 25800

                          To cover a late low and or gap close.

                          Very difficult day for bulls and bears !

                          Closed 25635

                          Never give up, never surrender.

                          #26275
                          cimac
                          Participant

                            Dow red candle today is bigger that other initial down moves of late.

                            Never give up, never surrender.

                            #26276
                            cimac
                            Participant

                              Not sure where we go from here.

                              Dow long at 25025 and Dow short at 25125

                              I will release the handbrake at some point.

                              Never give up, never surrender.

                              #26277
                              cimac
                              Participant

                                Not sure where we go from here.

                                Dow long at 25025 and Dow short at 25125

                                I will release the handbrake at some point.

                                Closed at 25100 ( short 25125 )

                                I will keep the long target 25250

                                Never give up, never surrender.

                                #26278
                                cimac
                                Participant

                                  Not sure where we go from here.

                                  Dow long at 25025 and Dow short at 25125

                                  I will release the handbrake at some point.

                                  Stop set at 25050 ( 25025 long ).

                                  Never give up, never surrender.

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