MON/TUESDAY 18th & 19/01/16 SYSTEMS AND INTRADAY

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  • #20081
    Khalsa
    Moderator

      SYSTEMS FOR MONDAY 18TH JANUARY 2016

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 160.5 points in Spoos today.

      I have 1 Long in Oil & 2 swing positions in spoos open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB
      We have a KTB triggered at close on 11/01/2016.
      It is now negated after DAY3.

      KTS
      We have a KTS5 triggered at close on 15/01/2015.
      TODAY IS DAY1.

      SYSTEM BDIP
      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 14/01/2016.
      TODAY IS DAY2.

      DAY1… We got a low of -65.50.
      DAY2…
      DAY3…
      DAY4…

      DDUD
      We have a DDUD triggered at close on 08/01/2016.
      TODAY IS DAY7.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      ESH7 ND

      ESL1 NEXT DAY
      GOOD CHANCE OF A -3

      SYSTEM ESA (KHC+3)
      SHOULD GET +3/+5/+7, HOWEVER IT CAN BE AFTER A DRAWDOWN, CLUE IS TRADING > +2.

      ESH8

      ESL2
      USUALLY GIVES -4/-7

      SYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3

      SYSTEM 72 (KHC +3)
      SHOULD GET +3,+5 POSSIBLY MORE. DOWNSIDE USUALLY LIMITED TO -5.

      SYSTEM 81A (KHC-5)
      USUALLY GIVES A BIG NEGATIVE PRINT AND CLOSES NEGATIVE, BUT IT CAN BE VIA A +3/+5

      SYSTEM SPXH1
      CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTH

      SYSTEM SPXL1
      VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

      Spoos closed at 1875 (basis Mar)

      K+3 = 1878

      K-3 = 1972

      Conclusion

      We have 3 KHC+3 & 1 KHC-5 SYSTEMS in play.

      We have a BDIP DAY2, DDUD DAY7 & KTS5 DAY1 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #20082
      MAURITIUS
      Participant

        In 1936 The Fed rose interest rates at the wrong time in the cycle and this is what happened next….

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        #20084
        MAURITIUS
        Participant

          System 81a again…. That is triggering almost every day at the moment……

          #20085
          Khalsa
          Moderator

            My thoughts are simple at this stage.

            The Iranian lighting of sanctions opens up a lower oil oil price and higher stick prices.

            I think a short term low is close to being in and a very short term one in already.

            We should bounce here for a bit before resuming downtrend.

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #20086
            MAURITIUS
            Participant

              The oil loans are going bad in the states and The Fed, after meeting with the banks has stopped banks marking to market. Ie they are scared of contagion and are trying desperately to stop it. After that happened credit spreads ‘between’ banks has risen sharply – ie banks don’t trust eachother again…..

              Wells Fargo have a chunk of said loans and admitted all of them are effectively junk category. Lol.

              shoe drop time? ?

              #20087
              MAURITIUS
              Participant
                #20088
                MAURITIUS
                Participant

                  Oscar

                  “OMNI has massively lower projections for dow, s&p, nas, if it gets going this week.”

                  #20091
                  MAURITIUS
                  Participant

                    ECB meeting thursday…

                    #20092
                    MAURITIUS
                    Participant

                      Oscar Mustard buying dips in gold going in to tomorrow….

                      #20093
                      Khalsa
                      Moderator

                        My thoughts are simple at this stage. The Iranian lighting of sanctions opens up a lower oil oil price and higher stick prices. I think a short term low is close to being in and a very short term one in already. We should bounce here for a bit before resuming downtrend.

                        Low of 1859.75 at open last night and it just hit 1882.75.

                        My plan remains the same for now.

                         

                        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                        #20094
                        Khalsa
                        Moderator

                          I am hoping the same for Oil also, if I can get an ISLAND low.

                          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                          #20095
                          Khalsa
                          Moderator

                            Wow just missed that dip as I walked out of my office. Damn

                            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                            #20096
                            Khalsa
                            Moderator

                              15 point sup in a flash. I was poised to long but just waiting for the dip. aaarrrggghhh

                              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                              #20097
                              kitsu
                              Participant

                                Khalsa what is upside target considering KTS and BDIP are  in play

                                #20098
                                Khalsa
                                Moderator

                                  Khalsa what is upside target considering KTS and BDIP are in play

                                  1895 ish then 1913 ish Kitsu.

                                  I am only bullish today as I feel a reaction bounce is underway and its a holiday in the US, so trader crooks will have most of the super computers off.

                                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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