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SYSTEMS FOR TUESDAY 1ST SEPTEMBER 2015
Hi all,
Recap ….
Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in Spoos today.
I have 2 longs in spoos, 4 shorts in spoos & 2 swing positions in spoos open.
Onto today …
KP
None in play.KTB
We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 27/08/2015.
It is now negated after DAY2.KTS
A KTS2 has triggered at close on 19/08/2015.
It is now negated after DAY6.SYSTEM BDIP
We have a BDIP triggered at close on 27/08/2015.
TODAY IS DAY3.DAY1… We got a low of -22.00.
DAY2… We got a low of -30.50.
DAY3…
DAY4…We have a BDIP triggered at close on 26/08/2015.
TODAY IS DAY4.DAY1… We got a low of -1.50.
DAY2… We got a low of -22.00.
DAY3… We got a low of -30.50.
DAY4…DDUD
We have a DDUD Season triggered at close on 14/08/2015.
TODAY IS DAY12.SYSTEMS TRIGGERED
ESL5 ND (KHC-5)
SYSTEM ESA (KHC+3)
SHOULD GET +3/+5/+7, HOWEVER IT CAN BE AFTER A DRAWDOWN, CLUE IS TRADING > +2.SYSTEM ESH1
MORE CHANCE OF UPSIDE THAN DOWNSIDE, USUALLY TRADE -VE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET +3, IF NO +3 THEN RARELY CLOSES AT LOWS, DOWNSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE. CHANCES OF +5, +7 ALSO. ALSO THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A +3 THE NEXT DAY,ESL6
SHOULD GET GOOD NEGATIVE PRINT, COULD GAP DOWN OPEN, COULD CLOSE NEGATIVE.SYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
USUALLY GIVES +3SYSTEM 72 (KHC +3)
SHOULD GET +3,+5 POSSIBLY MORE. DOWNSIDE USUALLY LIMITED TO -5.SYSTEM 80
USUALLY GET -3. IF IT GAPS UP OPEN, THEN USUALLY NOT MUCH DOWNSIDE PAST -3 AND CAN CLOSE +VE. USUALLY DOES NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS. SMALL CHANCE OF BEING A DDDD DAYSYSTEM SPXH1
CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTHSpoos closed at 1969.25 (basis Sep)
K+3 = 1972.25
K-3 = 1966.25
Conclusion
We have 3 KHC+3 & 1 KHC-5 SYSTEMS in play.
We have a BDIP DAY3, BDIP DAY4 & DDUD DAY12 in play.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Negated KTB is clearly good for bears. BDIP is performing well but I guess ‘could’ rest.
the other systems are a mixture……
a +3 has already printed…..
see what the Chinese mustards do….
KTB gone – good.
My tongue in cheek “buy ’em baby” was good for a 10 point scalp but we’re now back to where I made that comment. It’s -2.5 now
Certainly starting to feel bearish, the dipsters must be getting burnt.
Systems not conclusive, still unsure if we should be shorting any rally.
Itching to get in but trying hard to be patient
$VOLD on SPX was a +126 vs the +130. Just a shame the low was so extreme and hence we could not really benefit fully form the longs.
Nice to see the double BDIP’s got the top also.
With KTB negated, hopefully this is it.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Currently 3 to 1 short as per POST1.
I was far too knackered yesterday to do much sadly, so could not tweak that anymore.
Lets see what today brings but looks quite exciting so far.
Much that I want to run shorts, I will stick to my style and keep banking (as that style has got me where I am today).
A profit is only a profit when banked and the dipsters have no mercy.
Not quite ready to bank any yet though
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
What do we reckon?
Down, down and more down.
or
Some sort of crookedness and it rallies?
I think I will go out with some limits in to close for now. Better than watching it Rraltime
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
You can be on night duty again Nigel!
I think the market has a go at the lows of last week at some point this week or next. Maybe even today at this rate. I don’t believe lows are in.
What is causing these huge moves? Serious question…
algos with flu? is the selling genuine or just nonsense algos going bonkers?
I suspect a lot of the buying is intervention to stop all out collapse.
there were crazy swings back in year 2000. Days that zoomed up and the world all seemed good. A week later it had fallen 30%. It feels very similar scenario.
My gut feel is there is news around the corner that will kill the market and the mustards are getting wind of it…. and the super mustards are trying to ‘manage it’ lower. Like the Chinese arresting mustards but more subtle crooked tactics.
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