Hi all,

Recap ….

Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in spoos today.

I have 1 short in Ftse, 19 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

Onto today …

KP
None in play.

KTB

We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 14/01/2014.
TODAY IS DAY1.

KTS
We have a KTS5 triggered at close on 02/01/2014.
It is now negated after DAY8.

SYSTEM BDIP

We have a BDIP triggered at close on 14/01/2014.
TODAY IS DAY1.

DAY1…
DAY2…
DAY3…
DAY4…

We have a BDIP triggered at close on 08/01/2014.
It is now negated after DAY4.

DAY1… We got a low of -8.00.
DAY2… We got a low of -6.75.
DAY3… We got a low of -28.25.
DAY4… We got a low of -2.25.

We have a BDIP triggered at close on 31/12/2013.
It is now negated after DAY4.
DAY1… We got a low of -24.50.
DAY2… We got a low of -6.00.
DAY3… We got a low of -6.00.
DAY4… We got a low of -1.00.

DDUD

None in play.

SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

ESH1 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
USUALLY GIVES +3, IF IT GAPS DOWN THEN IT CAN GIVE A DDDD AND THEN BOUNCE AND MAKES A +3 LESS LIKELY.

SYSTEM ESD
GOOD CHANCE OF -3, -5, PAST -5 GOOD CHANCE OF -7/-10 ETC

SYSTEM ESL1
MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAY

SYSTEM ES3
SHOULD GET -3. UPSIDE AND DOWNSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE. LOWS TRADED SHOULD BE LOWER THAN HIGH TRADED, SHOULD NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS, IF WE TRADE < -3 CHANCE OF -7, -10.

SYSTEM ES7
POSSIBLE DOJI DAY, CAN BE WHIPPY AND UNTRADEABLE, ANY GAP UP OPEN SHOULD FILL THE SAME DAY. ITS NOT A SU MARKET AND RARELY MAKES MUCH PROGRESS.

ES8A
SHOULD GET+3 AND A -3. DOES NOT ALWAYS CLOSE AT LOWS

SYSTEM SPXD
MORE DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, NEGATIVE BIAS DAY

SYSTEM SPXL1
VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

SPX3B
SHOULD GET +3/+5, -3/-5. DOJI TYPE DAY WITH A CLOSE WITHIN THAT RANGE

SPX4A

SYSTEM SPX7
STARTS OF LOOKING LIKE TRENDING BUT DOES NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS OR LOWS

SYSTEM SPX9
SHOULD NOT MAKE MUCH UPSIDE PROGRESS, IF LOW < -3 GOOD CHANCE OF NEGATIVE CLOSE. ANY GAP OPEN SHOULD FILL THE SAME DAY.

Spoos closed at 1833 (basis Mar)

K+3 = 1836

K-3 = 1830

Conclusion

We have 1 KHC+3 SYSTEMS in play. Also as per ES3, ES7 & SPX9 any gap up open should fill the same day.

We have a BDIP DAY1 & KTB2 DAY1 in play.

Thankfully I stayed away form it and was saved by that.

SYSTEMS suggest a +3 but also a gap fill.

1838 is the resistance and above that its in mad mode to new highs imo.

KTB tells us it could trend up for a few days atleast but there is a BDIP also to confuse the issue.

I think I would trust the KTB more which will keep me away from shorting.

Support is at 1828 and then 1825, only below that can it retrace more

Nothing to do overnight and I lets see where we are in the morning

Curious that wner was down and tuesday up. Wrong way round lol.

Dan.

However I no longer think like that.

One day at a time and go with the flow.

China A50 index is down 10% since December 4th fwiw.

Still waiting for a trade