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SYSTEMS FOR WEDNESDAY 14TH JANUARY 2015
Hi all,
Recap ….
Intraday wise …. I banked 5 points in ES today.
I have 2 longs in oil, 2 Long in spoos, 4 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.
Onto today …
KP
None in play.KTB
We have a KTB triggered at close on 06/01/2015.
TODAY IS DAY6.KTS
We have a KTS5 triggered at close on 29/12/2014.
It is now negated after DAY4.SYSTEM BDIP
We have a BDIP in triggered at close on 08/01/2015.
TODAY IS DAY4.DAY1… We got a low of -23.25.
DAY2… We got a low of -18.25.
DAY3… We got a low of -22.75.
DAY4…DDUD
We have a DDUD season triggered at close on 12/01/2015.
TODAY IS DAY2.SYSTEMS TRIGGERED
ESH2 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
USUALLY GIVES +3SYSTEM ESE
GET +3 AND -3 BOTH. CAN BE A TRENDING DAY ONCE WE TRADE >+4 OR < -4 AND CLOSE POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE RESPECTIVELYESH3 (KHC+5)
CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7,+10. HOWEVER FAILURE TO PRINT +3 USUALLY RESULTS IN DOUBLE DIGIT DOWN DAY. DOES NOT USUALLY CLOSE AT HIGHS BUT CAN CLOSE POSITIVEESH10
CHANCE OF +3/+5, IF IT GOES FOR LOWS IT SHOULD NOT CLOSE AT LOWS. HOWEVER COULD BE A VERY BIG RANGE DAY.SYSTEM ESL1
MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAYES13 (KHC+3)
SHOULD GET A +3. CAN ALSO GET A GOOD NEGATIVE PRINT-3, -5, -7SYSTEM 81A (KHC-5)
USUALLY GIVES A BIG NEGATIVE PRINT AND CLOSES NEGATIVE, BUT IT CAN BE VIA A +3/+5SYSTEM SPXE
MORE DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, CHANCES OF -4,-7, THE CLUE TO A DOWN IS SPX TRADING NOT MORE THAN +3, SPX TRADING > +3 GIVES CHANCE TO A POSITIVE CLOSE. IF SPX DOES NOT TRADE MUCH NEGATIVE IT CAN BE A SU SYSTEM BUT DOES NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS.SYSTEMSPXH1
CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTHSYSTEM SPXL1
VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEMSpoos closed at 2016 (basis Mar)
K+3 = 2019
K-3 = 2013
Conclusion
We have 2 KHC+3, 1 KHC+5 & 1 KHC-5 SYSTEMS in play.
We have a KTB DAY6, BDIP DAY4 & DDUD SEASON DAY2 in play.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Ktb not negated then?
I suspect a big range day again given ddud season. Suspect we try 2000 area again and 2030 above but ranges have been bigger before so lets see. Today (tuesday) was more than 50.
Well went sub 2000 and now 2009. I been feeling under the weather so missed the dip due to a lie in! Why can’t these announcements get made when I am at the screen!?
Given that ecb QE in doubt now I suspect it has another run lower and perhaps trends lower through ddud season, although with KTB active that’s not given.
If no fresh wonga is gonna get thrown at the market what will traders think? There again they’ll probably dream up some new crooked scheme to prop markets.
Right lets see what it does today.
I am tempted to long for a move to backtest 2000/2 as a minimum
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
However one thing is for sure, DDUD season is working and it is negating the positive effect of KTB now (even though it did not negate, surprisingly)
The positive KHC’s may have some pull also.
After all of that, look to sell the rally as per DDUD season.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Bonds are now sky high due to terrible retail sales numbers earlier.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
So far so good with the long.
1998.50 prints.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Right lets see what it does today. I am tempted to long for a move to backtest 2000/2 as a minimum
We print 2000.25.
Closed 1999.50 for 7.50 points profit.
That was so easy lol
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
I gave it the max time and it has not triggered.
No GFS.
I find that surprising, but there you go
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
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