TUESDAY 4/08/2015 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

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  • #15504
    Khalsa
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      SYSTEMS FOR TUESDAY 4TH AUGUST 2015

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in Spoos today.

      I have 5 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB
      We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 10/07/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY3.

      KTS
      We have a KTS triggered at close on 30/07/2015.
      TODAY IS DAY3.

      SYSTEM BDIP
      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 29/07/2015.
      TODAY IS DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -13.50.
      DAY2… We got a low of -8.75.
      DAY3… We got a low of -18.50.
      DAY4…

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 28/07/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -2.75.
      DAY2… We got a low of -13.50.
      DAY3… We got a low of -8.75.
      DAY4… We got a low of -18.50.

      DDUD
      We have a DDUD Season triggered at close on 01/07/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY7.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      ESH1 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3, IF IT GAPS DOWN THEN IT CAN GIVE A DDDD AND THEN BOUNCE AND MAKES A +3 LESS LIKELY.

      ESH2 (KHC+3)
      CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7,+10. HOWEVER FAILURE TO PRINT +3 USUALLY RESULTS IN DOUBLE DIGIT DOWN DAY. DOES NOT USUALLY CLOSE AT HIGHS.

      ESH10
      CHANCE OF +3/+5, IF IT GOES FOR LOWS IT SHOULD NOT CLOSE AT LOWS. HOWEVER COULD BE A VERY BIG RANGE DAY.

      SYSTEM ESL1
      MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAY

      SYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3

      SYSTEM SPXL1
      VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

      Spoos closed at 2091.25 (basis Sep)

      K+3 = 2094.25

      K-3 = 2088.25

      Conclusion

      We have 3 KHC+3 SYSTEMS in play.

      We have a KTS DAY3 & BDIP DAY4 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #15505
      MAURITIUS
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        China up 6%

        #15506
        Khalsa
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          Today is the last day of the BDIP & KTS combo so I am mindful of the fact that we may try and form a low.

          Alot will depend on if we retest 2080 and what happens there.

          We have KHC+3’s but not sure how much I want to back them as sooner or later we should get KHC+ve failures.

          Again its all about 2080 ish ES.

          We are at that sort of point where it can just go either way

          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

          #15507
          Khalsa
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            Today is the last day of the BDIP & KTS combo so I am mindful of the fact that we may try and form a low.

            Alot will depend on if we retest 2080 and what happens there.

            We have KHC+3’s but not sure how much I want to back them as sooner or later we should get KHC+ve failures.

            Again its all about 2080 ish ES.

            We are at that sort of point where it can just go either way

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #15508
            Khalsa
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              What an awful day.

              No GFS as it opened with no gap whatsoever.

              Thereafter stuck in this tight range.

              TRIN is 0.99 which is exactly neutral.

              VIX/VXN sideways

              TICK stuck in +500 and -500 range.

              Maybe on hold for NFP’s but I think its too early for that.

              More like the calm before the storm.

              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

              #15509
              Khalsa
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                It all remains all about 2080 ES still.

                We reacted of the ongoing CIT level which was posted yesterday and now that is 2095.

                This remains a game of waiting still.

                My highest short is 2100.50 now from Thursday and I have 2 shorts in profit here

                 

                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                #15510
                Qman
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                  Another 7:30 low? Silver given it all back again

                  #15511
                  Khalsa
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                    Another 7:30 low? Silver given it all back again

                    Silver is being a pain but its tucked away so I do not need to worry about daily crookedness. Happy for the longer term swing on this one.

                    Markets wise remain bearish below 2090 SD level and 2095 main CIT level.

                    Happy to run shorts against that

                     

                    Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                    #15512
                    Qman
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                      They’re setting it up for a crooks hour tank…..

                      #15513
                      Khalsa
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                        lol Q, how DID you know?

                        SO far 8pm high and resisted spot on at 2090 SD level

                        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                        #15514
                        Qman
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                          lol Q, how DID you know? SO far 8pm high and resisted spot on at 2090 SD level

                          Ha ha mustards – back to lows.

                          I fancy 2063 tomorrow. Limits in on my 2087 short @ 2065.

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