TUESDAY 18/11/2014 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

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  • #9542
    Khalsa
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      SYSTEMS FOR TUESDAY 18TH NOVEMBER 2014

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in ES today.

      I have 1 long in oil, 8 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB
      We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 14/10/2014.
      It is now negated after DAY6.

      KTS
      We have a KTS triggered at close on 10/11/2014.
      It is now negated after DAY5.

      SYSTEM BDIP

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 31/10/2014.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -4.50.
      DAY2… We got a low of -15.75.
      DAY3… We got a low of -1.75.
      DAY4… We got a low of -8.00.

      DDUD
      We have a DDUD Season triggered at close on 02/10/2014.
      It is now negated after DAY17.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      SYSTEM ESF
      CAN BE A TRENDING DAY. IF NO +3 AND THEN IT TRADES <-4, IT CAN THEN TREND DOWN. LIKEWISE IF NO -3 AND THEN IT TRADES >+4, IT CAN THEN TREND UP.

      SYSTEM ESL1
      MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAY

      SYSTEM ES6
      COULD BE A TRENDING DAY EITHER WAY, BUT DOES NOT CLOSE NEAR HIGHS OR LOWS

      ES8A
      SHOULD GET+3 AND A -3. DOES NOT ALWAYS CLOSE AT LOWS

      ES16A

      SYSTEM SPXF
      MORE CHANCE OF A +3 THAN A -3. IF SPX GAPS DOWN THEN IT USUALLY NEGATES THE POSITIVE CALL AND CAN BE A NEGATIVE SYSTEM

      Spoos closed at 2039.50 (basis Dec)

      K+3 = 2042.50

      K-3 = 2036.50

      Conclusion

      We have NO KHC SYSTEMS in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #9544
      Khalsa
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        SAME OLD, SAME OLD, SAME OLD.

        Even NO SYSTEMS (KHC’s) is not making this move.

        I have seen Grind tops like this before but in QE these have been consolidations for more up.

        2035 SPX is the KEY here to break down.

         

        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

        #9546
        MAURITIUS
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          Need to put a fat finger sell order in……

          #9553
          Khalsa
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            Well no way near 2035 SPX today and more up.

            TRIN is high

            VIX/VXN diverging which leads me to believe this can be an end game.

            However its up until its down

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #9554
            Khalsa
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              lol as I said that, TRIN spiked down.

              Certainly it is up until its down.

              We cannot second guess this.

              Now that 2040 has broken up, I really am unsure where its aim is as this is uncharted teritory

              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

              #9555
              smashie212
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                Well no way near 2035 SPX today and more up. TRIN is high VIX/VXN diverging which leads me to believe this can be an end game. However its up until its down

                someone else is thinking the same.

                http://www.swingtradingdaily.com/2014/11/17/if-this-doesnt-tell-you-something-is-very-wrong-with-this-market-here-and-now/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+SwingTradingDaily+%28Swing+Trading+Daily%29

                #9556
                smashie212
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                  #9558
                  Khalsa
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                    Thanks Smashie for the above.

                    My views still remain the same yet this still continues up and remains above 2040 SPX.

                    Once below that, I will feel a top is in place.

                    Until then this madness just continues for what looks like absolutely no reason whatsoever.

                    With KTS now negated, we are again on hold for another KTS. In a way I like that as it shows THE SYSTEMS are just whipping also and that itself is a signal

                     

                    Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                    #9560
                    smashie212
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                      what happened to wed daily systems post kman ?

                      With the 10 handle drop bet there were a few khc-3 in there ?

                      #9562
                      Khalsa
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                        Sorry Smashie had guests over last night so got very delayed, I have just done them .

                        You will be disappointed as there are no KHC’s at all.

                        Navnit

                        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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