THURSDAY 25/09/2014 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

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  • #7875
    Khalsa
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      SYSTEMS FOR THURSDAY 25TH SEPTEMBER 2014

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 16 points in ES & 48 points on Ftse today.

      I have 1 short in Ftse, 19 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB
      None in play.

      KTS
      We have a KTS5 triggered at close on 22/09/2014.
      It is now negated after DAY2.

      SYSTEM BDIP

      We have a BDIP triggered at close on 16/09/2014.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -8.50.
      DAY2… We got a low of -2.50.
      DAY3… We got a low of -6.50.
      DAY4… We got a low of -21.25.

      We have a Borderline BDIP triggered at close on 15/09/2014.
      It is now negated after DAY4.

      DAY1… We got a low of -5.75.
      DAY2… We got a low of -8.50.
      DAY3… We got a low of -2.50.
      DAY4… We got a low of -6.50.

      DDUD
      None in play.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      ESH3 ND (KHC+5)
      SHOULD GET +5

      ES 5C NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
      SHOULD GIVE A +3

      ESH
      USUALLY GET +3 AND -3. MORE CHANCE OF -3. NORMALLY IS A DOJI TYPE DAY WITHIN +5 AND -5. TRADING < -5 GIVES CHANCE TO SD DAY

      SYSTEM ESL1
      MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAY

      SYSTEM ES3
      SHOULD GET -3. UPSIDE AND DOWNSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE. LOWS TRADED SHOULD BE LOWER THAN HIGH TRADED, SHOULD NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS, IF WE TRADE < -3 CHANCE OF -7, -10.

      SYSTEM ES7
      POSSIBLE DOJI DAY, CAN BE WHIPPY AND UNTRADEABLE, ANY GAP UP OPEN SHOULD FILL THE SAME DAY. ITS NOT A SU MARKET AND RARELY MAKES MUCH PROGRESS.

      ES8A
      SHOULD GET+3 AND A -3. DOES NOT ALWAYS CLOSE AT LOWS

      SYSTEM SPXF
      MORE CHANCE OF A +3 THAN A -3. IF SPX GAPS DOWN THEN IT USUALLY NEGATES THE POSITIVE CALL AND CAN BE A NEGATIVE SYSTEM

      SYSTEM SPXL1
      VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

      Spoos closed at 1991 (basis Dec)

      K+3 = 1994

      K-3 = 1988

      Conclusion

      We have 1 KHC+3 & 1 KHC+5 SYSTEMS in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #7876
      MAURITIUS
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        Good day to you!!

        #7877
        Khalsa
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          The GFS has not triggered for today.

          Navnit

          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

          #7879
          smashie212
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            thanks navnit.

            Markets are back to schizo again.

            DAX supports a monster H&S on the hourly chart, unless it about turns PDQ

            #7884
            smashie212
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              I see that S&P has a similar H&S to 1940’s

              #7885
              Khalsa
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                Well isn’t this just crazy.

                KTS negates, BDIp did not trigger, KHC +ve’s and we get this. No surprise as this is how they pull it off.

                Yesterday was euphoric and would have got alot to get bullish again for new highs.

                The key points were …

                We got stuck at the 50% retrace on ES literally to the dot and also SPX 2000 roundie was a backtest.

                Today has really sealed it now.

                SPX 1955 is the next target and then if it goes SPX 1900 roundie in next.

                I am perfectly positioned for it as I was 100% sure to close all longs yesterday and I did.

                I have 5 shorts in profit here but do not want to take them off yet. I have been waiting for this for a long time and as I do not scalp lots of 3-5 points daily anymore, I got to run the winners like I did on the last dip

                 

                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                #7886
                Khalsa
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                  I want to long Gold but am worried all asset classes will be sold

                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                  #7887
                  Khalsa
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                    Having said that money has gone into Bonds today and I see the USD carries on relentlessly up

                    Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                    #7888
                    smashie212
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                      Kman

                      Agree with your summary 100%, although dip buyers have been conditioned to come in at every key support

                      levels so selling the rallies will be the order of the day, I am still hopeful of  sub 1900 print maybe 1860ish

                      Read somewhere that yesterday’s high TICK reading indicated strong institutional selling into strength and likely meant distribution @ 2000, which is exactly how it turned out.

                      #7889
                      Khalsa
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                        Good volume on the down today also.

                         

                        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                        #7890
                        MAURITIUS
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                          Wow… Is the market feeling ok?

                          what did that? Or they just feel like it?

                          #7891
                          Khalsa
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                            lol out of the blue, all of a sudden.

                            Moody mustards

                            No seriously, it seems the downtrend had already started and yesterday was a mustard bull rally.

                            The crooks did it in style

                            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                            #7892
                            MAURITIUS
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                              I want to long Gold but am worried all asset classes will be sold

                              one day they’ll revalue the mustard overnight and devalue the currencies hugely. Given all the qe, I see gold easily hitting 10k now.

                              silver. I longed that again last week a bit early at 1853 but I see it getting to 20000. It moves in bigger % than gold…

                              #7894
                              Khalsa
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                                SD level now 1964.

                                Resistance 1968/70.

                                Above that it can rally

                                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                                #7895
                                Khalsa
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                                  They are trying to spook me.

                                  Maybe I need to make a sacrifice.

                                  Closed a 1997.50 short here at 1960.50 for 37 points profit.

                                   

                                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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