Hi all,

Recap ….

Intraday wise …. I banked 17 points in spoos today.

I have 1 short in Ftse & 18 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

Onto today …

KP
None in play.

KTB

We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 24/10/2013.
IT IS NOW NEGATED AFTER DAY4.

KTS

We have a KTS2 triggered at close on 18/11/2013.
TODAY IS DAY3.

SYSTEM BDIP

We have a BDIP triggered at close on 15/11/2013.
TODAY IS DAY4.

DAY1… We got a low of -9.50.
DAY2… We got a low of -6.75.
DAY3… We got a low of -10.75.
DAY4…

We have a BDIP triggered at close on 13/11/2013.
It is now negated after DAY4.

DAY1… We got a low of -1.25.
DAY2… We got a low of -1.25.
DAY3… We got a low of -9.50.
DAY4… We got a low of -6.75.

DDUD

We have a DDUD season triggered at close on 11/07/2013.
It is now negated after DAY2.

SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

SYSTEM ESE
GET +3 AND -3 BOTH. CAN BE A TRENDING DAY ONCE WE TRADE >+4 OR < -4 AND CLOSE POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE RESPECTIVELY

SYSTEM ESH1
MORE CHANCE OF UPSIDE THAN DOWNSIDE, USUALLY TRADE -VE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET +3, IF NO +3 THEN RARELY CLOSES AT LOWS, DOWNSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE. CHANCES OF +5, +7 ALSO. ALSO THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A +3 THE NEXT DAY

ES13 (KHC+3)
SHOULD GET A +3. CAN ALSO GET A GOOD NEGATIVE PRINT-3, -5, -7

SYSTEM 81A (KHC-5)
USUALLY GIVES A BIG NEGATIVE PRINT AND CLOSES NEGATIVE, BUT IT CAN BE VIA A +3/+5

SYSTEM SPXE
MORE DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, CHANCES OF -4,-7, THE CLUE TO A DOWN IS SPX TRADING NOT MORE THAN +3, SPX TRADING > +3 GIVES CHANCE TO A POSITIVE CLOSE. IF SPX DOES NOT TRADE MUCH NEGATIVE IT CAN BE A SU SYSTEM BUT DOES NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS.

SYSTEMSPXH1
CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTH

Spoos closed at 1779.75 (basis Dec)

K+3 = 1782.75

K-3 = 1776.75

Conclusion

We have 1 KHC+3 & 1 KHC-5 SYSTEMS in play.

We have a BDIP DAY4 & KTS2 DAY3 in play.

Its good to be back from the nasty FLU also.

Also good to see the KTS/BDIP combo has given -7 and -10’s minimums on all three days so far.

So where now?

Last day for BDIP also.

Its managed to fall 25 points form the high

It is all about holding 1783 ES now and MEGA MUST HOLD at 1789.

Realistically now the next target can be 1772 ish before that 1755 again.

Last day tomorrow to do something before the dreaded crooksday returns.

My plan remains to short rallies for now.

If I could bet half stake, I would long now for a few handles but not willing to commit full stake so will wait for up hopefully and short it.

I am scared of being trapped in a long the day the world ends…lol well the day it oes limit down for some new crisis. It’s always in the back of my head and it will be sods law I am long when it happens so I for now will refrain from longs unless it’s against existing shorts.

Its dead on 1780 as I write. The mustard level. I am sure they will try and defend it so let’s see ifman imaginary long here would work…. 🙂

Sweet dreams!

Dan.

I like that 8am europe time move down very much.

Good morning from a very warm Mombasa – hope you’re feeling better K man.

GM all

me aswell balsted FLU – getting tad better

WOW KAribuni Kenya mwana Inchii 😛   Ndugu 😛

rgds

Zarif

Thank you for asking, indeed I am on top of the world again.

Word of warning to all, if a flu jab works for you, get it done! This is a knockout mustard flu. I never normally rest but I had to this time