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SYSTEMS FOR MONDAY 17TH AUGUST 2015
Hi all,
Recap ….
Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in Spoos today.
I have 4 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.
Onto today …
KP
None in play.KTB
We have a KTB triggered at close on 04/08/2015.
IT IS NOW NEGATED AFTER DAY2.KTS
A KTS has triggered at close on 13/08/2015.
TODAY IS DAY2.SYSTEM BDIP
We have a BDIP triggered at close on 10/08/2015.
It is now negated after DAY4.DAY1… We got a low of -29.00.
DAY2… We got a low of -33.00.
DAY3… We got a low of -11.00.
DAY4… We got a low of -7.00.DDUD
We have a DDUD Season triggered at close on 14/08/2015.
TODAY IS DAY1.SYSTEMS TRIGGERED
ESH1 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
USUALLY GIVES +3, IF IT GAPS DOWN THEN IT CAN GIVE A DDDD AND THEN BOUNCE AND MAKES A +3 LESS LIKELY.SYSTEM ESD
GOOD CHANCE OF -3, -5, PAST -5 GOOD CHANCE OF -7/-10 ETCSYSTEM ESL1
MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAYES8A
SHOULD GET+3 AND A -3. DOES NOT ALWAYS CLOSE AT LOWSSYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
USUALLY GIVES +3SYSTEM 72 (KHC +3)
SHOULD GET +3,+5 POSSIBLY MORE. DOWNSIDE USUALLY LIMITED TO -5.SYSTEM SPXD
MORE DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, NEGATIVE BIAS DAYSYSTEM SPXL1
VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEMSYSTEM SPX3
SHOULD GET -3/-5. IF SPX TRADES < +3 HIGH THEN CHANCE OF TRENDING DOWNSpoos closed at 2089.75 (basis Sep)
K+3 = 2092.75
K-3 = 2086.75
Conclusion
We have 3 KHC+3 SYSTEMS in play.
We have a KTS DAY2 & DDUD DAY1 in play.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
KHC SYSTEMS are +ve.
ESD/SPXD is a bearish combo
SYSTEM 70 & 72 implies volatility.
DDUD season implies down with DDUD’s up.
WNER day can imply an up day especially as Friday was up.
Either way for me it will be about selling the pop and accumulating shorts again.
I will be happy to start in the ES 2095 / 2100 area
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Short 2089.38.
I think we are in more bear than bull so expect the bearish systems to be stronger… Let’s see where we are after the Chinese mustards have had their fun….
good night!
Dan.
I missed the pop to 2094.50. I was up around 6am and then fell asleep again.
Shame as that was the plan. I will not chase it now that its negative.
Support is at 2076 now so that is a potential target.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
From a +5 to a -3 now. aaarrrggghh. Mustards.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Short 2089.38. I think we are in more bear than bull so expect the bearish systems to be stronger… Let’s see where we are after the Chinese mustards have had their fun…. good night! Dan.
closed for 7.5pts – spike down I assume on data…
Sorry guys, it is borderline GFS today.
I thought I posted it earlier but seems like the post hasn’t gone through.
Navnit
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Damn it! From a +5 I did not sell to a -15. Thats very annoying.
I have missed the high and the low today.
SO now on hold for the next plan.
2089/90 is the resistance.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
I missed the pop to 2094.50. I was up around 6am and then fell asleep again. Shame as that was the plan. I will not chase it now that its negative. Support is at 2076 now so that is a potential target.
Low was 2074.75, so that was perfect.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Getting ready to short basis 2095/2100 area
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
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