MONDAY 14/04/14 SYSTEMS AND INTRADAY

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  • #5384
    Khalsa
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      SYSTEMS FOR MONDAY 14TH APRIL 2014

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 17 points in spoos today.

      I have 1 short in Ftse, 16 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB
      We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 17/03/2014.
      IT IS NOW NEGATED AFTER DAY3.

      KTS
      We have a KTS5 triggered at close on 04/04/2014.
      TODAY IS DAY6.

      SYSTEM BDIP
      None in play.

      DDUD
      None in play.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      ESH1 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3, IF IT GAPS DOWN THEN IT CAN GIVE A DDDD AND THEN BOUNCE AND MAKES A +3 LESS LIKELY.

      ES 5C NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
      SHOULD GIVE A +3

      ESA2 (KHC+3)
      VERY GOOD CHANCE OF +3,+5,+7 MAY BE +10, RARELY CLOSES AT HIGHS, CAN COME VIA A -3

      ESH2 (KHC+3)
      CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7,+10. HOWEVER FAILURE TO PRINT +3 USUALLY RESULTS IN DOUBLE DIGIT DOWN DAY. DOES NOT USUALLY CLOSE AT HIGHS.

      SYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3

      SYSTEM 81A (KHC-5)
      USUALLY GIVES A BIG NEGATIVE PRINT AND CLOSES NEGATIVE, BUT IT CAN BE VIA A +3/+5

      SYSTEMSPXH1
      CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTH

      SYSTEM SPX5
      Not much lower in RTH, High +4/+5, HOWEVER IF SPX GAPS DOWN OPEN IT CAN BE A SERIOUS NEGATIVE SD DAY

      SYSTEM SPX5B
      TRENDING SYSTEM, IF SPX TRADES > -3 LOW THEN CAN GET +3/+5, IF SPX TRADES < -3 SHOULD GET -3/-5, IF HIGH TRADED IS < 3 THEN SD DAY AND CLOSE NEGATIVE

      SPX18
      CHANCE OF A GOOD TRENDING DAY. IF HIGH TRADED IS <3, CHANCE OF A DOUBLE DIGIT DOWN DAY. IF LOW TRADED > -3, CHANCE OF POSITIVE CLOSE.

      Spoos closed at 1811.50 (basis Jun)

      K+3 = 1814.50

      K-3 = 1808.50

      Conclusion

      We have 5 KHC+3 & 1 KHC-5 SYSTEMS in play.

      We also have a KTS5 DAY6 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #5385
      MAURITIUS
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        Curious to see the open, given Ukraine….

        #5386
        MAURITIUS
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          -5 but looking like it may recover…..

          #5387
          Khalsa
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            Very nice to see the KHC-5 print.

            However there are alot of KHC +ve’s there.

            The best hope for bears is an SFD day on longs. That would secure a nice CIT.

            We are now getting nearer a 17xx.x print

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #5388
            MAURITIUS
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              I was thinking perhaps a sfd before you said that. Take us scary down for a bit before getting a ping back up the fill the sfd target. Given its “only -5” and not more down perhaps it can do +3. Perhaps like the other day it gives bare minimum upside wise (+3) before falling.

              There was that -60 day ages ago. That had a lot of khc +ve’s.

              #5389
              MAURITIUS
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                Is there anything intraday that indicates a $vold. Ie before the end of day systems post.

                Often they trigger close to a hammer bottom which can be a significant number of points. This if we had a big down day, could something alert you to said $vold system before it recovers.

                The down day has come after the trigger before now on ‘some’ occasions (if my memory serves me well) so maybe we need not be concerned…..

                #5390
                MAURITIUS
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                  Go to http://www.whatdoesitmean.com

                  And click on the “prepare for doomsday” link.

                  I can’t cut n paste for some reason….

                  #5391
                  MAURITIUS
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                    -8 was low

                    -2 now

                    Off to get some sleep…. Good night…

                    #5392
                    Khalsa
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                      Is there anything intraday that indicates a $vold. Ie before the end of day systems post. Often they trigger close to a hammer bottom which can be a significant number of points. This if we had a big down day, could something alert you to said $vold system before it recovers. The down day has come after the trigger before now on ‘some’ occasions (if my memory serves me well) so maybe we need not be concerned…..

                      Good morning Dan.

                      Yes sometimes it can give me an early warning before close, but then crookshour can come along and wreck it.

                      and yes, the low is usually 1-2 days after a trigger and that low has been a scary low intraday spike down and quick reversal back up and then up, up and away.

                      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                      #5393
                      smashie212
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                        Take it no GFS ?

                        #5394
                        Khalsa
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                          We did have a borderline GFS trigger earlier but couldn’t post it as I have just got back.

                          Navnit

                          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                          #5395
                          Khalsa
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                            Well I see walking away today helped.

                            Dan with his bearish talk indeed jinxed it lol.

                            Last nights low was a 8.25 and that was it.

                            I feel this is a WNER bounce so I am shorting here at 1826.

                            It does look perky but without a signal I would like to think this is just a reaction bounce.

                            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                            #5396
                            MAURITIUS
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                              Gap fills

                              🙂

                              #5397
                              smashie212
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                                Well I see walking away today helped. Dan with his bearish talk indeed jinxed it lol. Last nights low was a 8.25 and that was it. I feel this is a WNER bounce so I am shorting here at 1826. It does look perky but without a signal I would like to think this is just a reaction bounce.

                                That was great timing Money Mouth

                                #5398
                                Khalsa
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                                  Thanks Smashie. More luck than anything else but GFS certainly helped and was a textbook borderline

                                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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