FRIDAY 30/01/2015 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

[Khalsa]

 

SYSTEMS FOR FRIDAY 30TH JANUARY 2015

Hi all,

Recap ….

Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in ES today.

I have 2 longs in oil, 3 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

Onto today …

KP
None in play.

KTB
We have a KTB triggered at close on 06/01/2015.
It is now negated after DAY10.

KTS
We have a KTS5 triggered at close on 23/01/2015.
TODAY IS DAY5.

SYSTEM BDIP
We have a BDIP in triggered at close on 16/01/2015.
It is now negated after DAY4.

DAY1… We got a low of -16.50.
DAY2… We got a low of -11.50.
DAY3… We got a low of -8.00.
DAY4… We got a low of -14.25.

DDUD
We have a DDUD season triggered at close on 12/01/2015.
It is now negated after DAY7.

SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

ESH2 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
USUALLY GIVES +3

ESB
SHOULD GET +3 AND -3 BOTH. CAN BE A TRENDING SYSTEM. > +5 SHOULD TREND UP AND < -5 SHOULD TREND DOWN.

SYSTEM ESL1
MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAY

ES8A
SHOULD GET+3 AND A -3. DOES NOT ALWAYS CLOSE AT LOWS

SYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
USUALLY GIVES +3

SYSTEM 72 (KHC +3)
SHOULD GET +3,+5 POSSIBLY MORE. DOWNSIDE USUALLY LIMITED TO -5.

ES110 (KHC+3)
SHOULD GET A +3/ +5. GOOD CHANCE OF A POSITIVE CLOSE, POSSIBLE GAP & GO DAY.

SPXB
MORE CHANCE OF POSITIVE THAN NEGATIVE.

SYSTEM SPXL1
VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

Spoos closed at 2019 (basis Mar)

K+3 = 2022

K-3 = 2016

Conclusion

We have 4 KHC+3 SYSTEMS in play.

We have a KTS5 DAY5 & DDUD SEASON DAY1 in play.

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

Well the +KHC’s are no surprise but the DDUD season is.

DDUD season usually starts with down, pop n drop daily and then it kicks in to go swing up.

Therefore on the one hand I am there nking Thursday made a traceable low and this DDUD suggests otherwise.

Let’s see what GDP does today.

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[MAURITIUS]

I don’t get you Kman?

why can’t the ddud kick in up now?

[MAURITIUS]

Long 2016.38

looking for the plus 3 or more…

 

[MAURITIUS]

I must be unwell longing like that! Call the doctor!!

[Khalsa]

Dan, its just the way DDUD has worked as a SYSTEM in recent years.

Ie, it starts out as a series of vicious pops and drops and then finds a “scary low” and then starts on an uptrend.

However yesterdays close for me is bullish for now unless the whole thing reverses back down.

Lets see

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

Well that answers that.

Now with DDUD season we should get some DDUD’s.

Long 2006.25

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

MAURITIUS wrote:

I don’t get you Kman?

Nobody does  🙁

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Qman]

Morning all – Where’s support Kman?

[Qman]

Long 2003.18

[Khalsa]

It was 2007 and now back to that 1999/2001/2003 area

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

Qman wrote:

Long 2003.18

So on that basis it looks like you have timed it very well.

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[smashie212]

Khalsa wrote:

Dan, its just the way DDUD has worked as a SYSTEM in recent years. Ie, it starts out as a series of vicious pops and drops and then finds a “scary low” and then starts on an uptrend. However yesterdays close for me is bullish for now unless the whole thing reverses back down. Lets see

Ah I was thinking the KTS would be weaker but still in force i.e. continued downtrend with lows being bough aggressively, hence I shorted that 2013/2015 area last night.

You guys are long I’m short so banking here basis EOM

[Khalsa]

Nice one Smashie.

Right its over to GDP in 45 mins.

 

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

So here we go, 3 mins to go.

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Author]

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