Hi all,

Recap ….

Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in spoos today.

I have 1 short in Ftse & 19 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

Onto today …

KP
None in play.

KTB

We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 24/10/2013.
IT IS NOW NEGATED AFTER DAY4.

KTS

We have a KTS2 triggered at close on 18/11/2013.
TODAY IS DAY4.

SYSTEM BDIP

We have a BDIP triggered at close on 15/11/2013.
It is now negated after DAY4.

DAY1… We got a low of -9.50.
DAY2… We got a low of -6.75.
DAY3… We got a low of -10.75.
DAY4… We got a low of -4.00.

We have a BDIP triggered at close on 13/11/2013.
It is now negated after DAY4.

DAY1… We got a low of -1.25.
DAY2… We got a low of -1.25.
DAY3… We got a low of -9.50.
DAY4… We got a low of -6.75.

DDUD

We have a DDUD season triggered at close on 11/07/2013.
It is now negated after DAY2.

SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

ESH1 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
USUALLY GIVES +3, IF IT GAPS DOWN THEN IT CAN GIVE A DDDD AND THEN BOUNCE AND MAKES A +3 LESS LIKELY.

SYSTEM 81A ND (KHC+5)
CAN BE A DDUD PRINT ALSO

ESH
USUALLY GET +3 AND -3. MORE CHANCE OF -3. NORMALLY IS A DOJI TYPE DAY WITHIN +5 AND -5. TRADING < -5 GIVES CHANCE TO SD DAY

SYSTEM ESL1
MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAY

ES8A
SHOULD GET+3 AND A -3. DOES NOT ALWAYS CLOSE AT LOWS

SPX3B
SHOULD GET +3/+5, -3/-5. DOJI TYPE DAY WITH A CLOSE WITHIN THAT RANGE

SPX4A

SYSTEM SPX7
STARTS OF LOOKING LIKE TRENDING BUT DOES NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS OR LOWS

SYSTEM SPX9
SHOULD NOT MAKE MUCH UPSIDE PROGRESS, IF LOW < -3 GOOD CHANCE OF NEGATIVE CLOSE. ANY GAP OPEN SHOULD FILL THE SAME DAY.

SYSTEM SPXL1
VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

Spoos closed at 1793.75 (basis Dec)

K+3 = 1796.75

K-3 = 1790.75

Conclusion

We have 1 KHC+3 & 1 KHC+5 SYSTEMS in play.

We have a KTS2 DAY4 in play.

With the khc’s plus 3 and 5 one has to expect 1800 again and that’s a worry. Tempted to hedge half long for that.

Lets see where we are in the morning.

Good night,

Dan.

Being a crooksday, as per recent years of QE crooksdays, unlikely to have much downside.

One day it will, but we have to play the odds until it isn’t.

For now 1788 is the LIS.

Not really a gap up open to play so far today either.

Previous recent high is 1799.75

Above 1796 will target the high again imo

If 1796 can hold and 1791.75 break down, thats very good

Short 1796 with 2.50 point limits in

good luck all

1800 ES has held it for now.

1798 SU level and 1796 intraday cit.

It so much feels like we can get a DDDD but who can back that on crooksday into crookshour.

Got to be brave and stupid!

lol that sounds like me

With no one here fancying that idea and resigned to the fact its going up, perhaps it might drop lol.

I won’t add. Will just sit this one out. Its when you start adding to quick that kills you.

Patience. We can’t make instant points all the time….lol

Dan.