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SYSTEMS FOR FRIDAY 19TH DECEMBER 2014
Hi all,
Recap ….
Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in ES today.
I have 2 longs in oil, 6 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.
Onto today …
KP
None in play.KTB
We have a KTB triggered at close on 16/12/2014.
TODAY IS DAY3.KTS
We have a KTS triggered at close on 24/11/2014.
It is now negated after DAY15.SYSTEM BDIP
We have a BDIP triggered at close on 18/12/2014.
TODAY IS DAY1.DAY1…
DAY2…
DAY3…
DAY4…We have a BDIP triggered at close on 17/12/2014.
TODAY IS DAY2.DAY1… We got a low of -3.50.
DAY2…
DAY3…
DAY4…DDUD
We have a DDUD Season triggered at close on 09/12/2014.
Today is DAY8.SYSTEMS TRIGGERED
ESL1 NEXT DAY
GOOD CHANCE OF A -3ESH
USUALLY GET +3 AND -3. MORE CHANCE OF -3. NORMALLY IS A DOJI TYPE DAY WITHIN +5 AND -5. TRADING < -5 GIVES CHANCE TO SD DAYESHA
ESL2
USUALLY GIVES -4/-7ES8A
SHOULD GET+3 AND A -3. DOES NOT ALWAYS CLOSE AT LOWSSYSTEM 62
MORE DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE. USUALLY GIVES -3,-5. RARELY CLOSES AT HIGHS. EVEN WHEN THE SYSTEM FAILS YOU SEEM TO GET A SPOOS -2.SYSTEM 64
UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE, RARELY CLOSES AT HIGHS, CAN GIVE -3,-5,-7, BUT CLOSE ERRATIC WITH USUALLY NOT MUCH CHANGE ON THE DAYSYSTEM SPXL1
VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEMSYSTEM SPX1 (KHC-3)
LITTLE UPSIDE MORE DOWNSIDE. IN THE 18 TIMES THIS HAS TRIGGERED, WE HAVE ONLY TRADED TWICE SPX >+4 AND THEY WERE THE ONLY POSITIVE CLOSES. NORMALLY GAP DOWN ON SPX, NO GAP FILL AND CLOSE NEGATIVE.SPX4A
SYSTEM SPX9
SHOULD NOT MAKE MUCH UPSIDE PROGRESS, IF LOW < -3 GOOD CHANCE OF NEGATIVE CLOSE. ANY GAP OPEN SHOULD FILL THE SAME DAY.SPX 10C
MORE DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, SHOULD GET -3 POSSIBLY -5. IF TRADE PAST +4 CAN CLOSE POSITIVESpoos closed at 2060.25 (basis Mar)
K+3 = 2063.25
K-3 = 2057.25
Conclusion
We have 1 KHC-3 SYSTEMS in play.
We have a BDIP DAY1, BDIP DAY2, KTB DAY3 & DDUD Season DAY8 in play.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
DOuble BDIP against KTB and DDUD season thats kicked in bullish.
On top of that Crooks quad oe.
We should see 2046 minimum imo tomorrow, but what else we see, no idea s it stands.
No GFS borderline so no prediction of a gap down open.
Therefore we stick to an opening tick high for RTH also.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
I think I’ll short the open tick depending how ruddy high it gets.
Even by the standards of the crooks the last two days have been unbelievable.
From a a bearish perspective I am hoping recent volatility is causing big problems for some funds. I suspect it probably is, but perhaps they are trying to shore it up if so. Can oil half in a short period and spoos ramp 5% in two days and no big players get hurt? As it looks, the answer is yes it can do that.
one of these days……lol
Two or three expires back the mustard rallied and peaked at or near open and then tanked -30 or so from there (if not more?)
…..hopefully have that style day tomorrow.
normally after a move like that I would short the close, but seems safer to wait for open tick…
even if it went limit down tomorrow it wouldn’t cover last two days rally…. Well nearly…..
Did Dow spike down 300 at about 3.30 uk time today? BBC chart shows a spike down…..
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-30532988
I think I’ll short the open tick depending how ruddy high it gets. Even by the standards of the crooks the last two days have been unbelievable. From a a bearish perspective I am hoping recent volatility is causing big problems for some funds. I suspect it probably is, but perhaps they are trying to shore it up if so. Can oil half in a short period and spoos ramp 5% in two days and no big players get hurt? As it looks, the answer is yes it can do that. one of these days……lol
Pimco are in trouble but that’s largely due to russia:
Oh wow, another +10 and more.
We are back near highs.
Total crooks quad OE madness but also real quite spectacular.
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
The ES high is 13.75 so far.
I have no words for this madness other than to say that I am so glad I closed my shorts with NO GREED.
My new shorts from yesterday are now 20+ points out, but is that a surprise after a +50 day and then +13 again in globex (all after a +43 day).
Ifs definitely getting madder and madder which is a really good sign longer term for Bears, but for now its a steamroller without good risk management
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
The sad thing though is my usual plan for making money for quads crook oe has been messed up.
Ie, I could not long last night for RTH opening tick high as it had rallied 100 points in 2 days.
I do not want to long now as we are up 7 into it already
Swines
Plan your trade, trade your plan!
ftse unravelled the globex pump almost at the opening tick! all smoke as you say kman..
DAX a tiny 250 points off of early morning highs.
not getting too excited, dipsters won’t be far away…….
Qman
Think they will gun for news highs before any meaningful retrace begins
I’ll give ’em a meaningful retrace!
I do like to remember that 19 of 20 biggest up days on nasdaq up to year 2002 came from March 2001 onwards when Nasdaq halved in value. It was like mega ddud season…..
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