FRIDAY 18/07/2014 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

[Khalsa]

SYSTEMS FOR FRIDAY 18TH JULY 2014

Hi all,

Recap ….

Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in ES today.

I have 1 short in Ftse, 20 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

Onto today …

KP
None in play.

KTB
We have a KTB triggered at close on 25/06/2014.
It is now negated after DAY6.

KTS
We have a KTS triggered at close on 17/07/2014.
TODAY IS DAY1.

SYSTEM BDIP

We have a BDIP triggered at close on 16/07/2014.
TODAY IS DAY2.

DAY1… We got a low of -25.50.
DAY2…
DAY3…
DAY4…

DDUD
None in play.

SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

SYSTEM ESA (KHC+3)
SHOULD GET +3/+5/+7, HOWEVER IT CAN BE AFTER A DRAWDOWN, CLUE IS TRADING > +2.

SYSTEM ESH1
MORE CHANCE OF UPSIDE THAN DOWNSIDE, USUALLY TRADE -VE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET +3, IF NO +3 THEN RARELY CLOSES AT LOWS, DOWNSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE. CHANCES OF +5, +7 ALSO. ALSO THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A +3 THE NEXT DAY

ES 5C (KHC+3)
USUALLY GIVE A +3 AND CLOSES POSITIVE. RARELY CLOSES AT LOWS

SYSTEM 81 (KHC+3)
USUALLY GIVES +3,+5

SYSTEM SPX5
Not much lower in RTH, High +4/+5, HOWEVER IF SPX GAPS DOWN OPEN IT CAN BE A SERIOUS NEGATIVE SD DAY

SYSTEM SPX5B
TRENDING SYSTEM, IF SPX TRADES > -3 LOW THEN CAN GET +3/+5, IF SPX TRADES < -3 SHOULD GET -3/-5, IF HIGH TRADED IS < 3 THEN SD DAY AND CLOSE NEGATIVE

SYSTEMSPXH1
CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTH

Spoos closed at 1954 (basis Sep)

K+3 = 1957

K-3 = 1951

Conclusion

We have 3 KHC+3 SYSTEMS in play.

We have a BDIP DAY2 & KTS DAY1 in play.

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[Khalsa]

Wow a new KTS & BDIP combo.

Looks like it all may finally be coming to fruition.

We have KHC +ve’s that hopefully give a pop to short int he downtrend

 

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[MAURITIUS]

Closed the short from 1956 (dec) something for 15 handles.

[Khalsa]

Awesome Dan. Great trade

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[MAURITIUS]

Yes I am suspecting we may be entering ‘short the rallies’ phase.

Perhaps those khc’s are red herrings on this occasion and the kts BDIP whack it down….

Be very curious to see reaction to this plane incident tomorrow. Will it be accusations flying or cover up time?

[MAURITIUS]

buying it back up it seems….

the bdip/kts printed -10 ish earlier/overnight so not as confident shorting her at +7.5 as I would otherwise be….

[MAURITIUS]

wow

22 off todays low now and glad I closed my 15 point short last night as it would be losing now….

[Khalsa]

What a total joke. Really quite stupid.

Once again we are above all the broken supports and rallying.

Nothing to do until the next opportunity.

Cannot wait for QE to be dead.

 

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

[MAURITIUS]

incrediBULL

I am so glad I saw those khc+ves and closed yesterdays short as by now I would be 7 points out….

Any EW Kman, as I am thinking weekend ‘could’ have negative news re Ukraine and Gaza escalation….

[MAURITIUS]

how mad is that chart…..

when tat uptrend gives…it’s dead meat…

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[MAURITIUS]

short 1963.25 dec contract

[MAURITIUS]

spx is 1977 today – 40% higher than….

december 2012 – twas the last time spx saw 1400.

There have been 20 months since (inc dec 2012 and inc july 2014)

Only 3 were down…june and august 2013 and january this year.

In the twenty months before dec 2012 there 9 down months.

twenty before that – 7

twenty before that – 13

twenty before that – 4

twenty before that – 8

 

so sequence goes… 8, 4, 13, 7, 9, 3…..

what comes after a low number>>?

[MAURITIUS]

lol from march 2000 to now,,,monthly chart

big frickin butterfly… 🙂

not measured exactly but looks damn nice to me….

[Author]

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