FRIDAY 13/03/2015 SYSTEMS & INTRADAY

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  • #12442
    Khalsa
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      SYSTEMS FOR FRIDAY 13TH MARCH 2015

      Hi all,

      Recap ….

      Intraday wise …. I banked 0 points in ES today.

      I have 2 longs in oil, 1 short in Dax, 3 shorts in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

      Onto today …

      KP
      None in play.

      KTB
      We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 12/03/2015.
      TODAY IS DAY1.

      KTS
      We have a KTS2 triggered at close on 18/02/2015.
      It is now negated after DAY16.

      SYSTEM BDIP

      None in play.

      DDUD
      We have a DDUD season triggered at close on 06/03/2015.
      TODAY IS DAY5.

      SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

      ESH2 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3

      SYSTEM ESL1
      MORE CHANCE OF DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, USUALLY TRADE POSITIVE AT SOME POINT, NORMALLY GET -3, IF NO -3 THEN RARELY CLOSE AT HIGHS, UPSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE & CLOSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE ON THE DAY. CHANCES OF -7, -10 & -17 ALSO. THE CLOSE CAN BE VERY ERRATIC. ALSO AFTER THIS SYSTEM THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF A -3 THE NEXT DAY

      SYSTEM ES3
      SHOULD GET -3. UPSIDE AND DOWNSIDE UNSUSTAINABLE. LOWS TRADED SHOULD BE LOWER THAN HIGH TRADED, SHOULD NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS, IF WE TRADE < -3 CHANCE OF -7, -10.

      SYSTEM ES7
      POSSIBLE DOJI DAY, CAN BE WHIPPY AND UNTRADEABLE, ANY GAP UP OPEN SHOULD FILL THE SAME DAY. ITS NOT A SU MARKET AND RARELY MAKES MUCH PROGRESS.

      ES8A
      SHOULD GET+3 AND A -3. DOES NOT ALWAYS CLOSE AT LOWS

      SYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
      USUALLY GIVES +3

      SYSTEM 72 (KHC +3)
      SHOULD GET +3,+5 POSSIBLY MORE. DOWNSIDE USUALLY LIMITED TO -5.

      SYSTEM SPXL1
      VERY ERRATIC SYSTEM IN TERMS OF HIGH/LOW/CLOSE. USUALLY IS A DOJI DAY WITHIN +5 / -5. TRADING > +5 USUALLY CLOSES POSITIVE, TRADING < -5 CLOSES NEGATIVE. THAT’S WHEN IT BECOMES A TRENDING SYSTEM

      SPX3B
      SHOULD GET +3/+5, -3/-5. DOJI TYPE DAY WITH A CLOSE WITHIN THAT RANGE

      SPX4A

      SYSTEM SPX7
      STARTS OF LOOKING LIKE TRENDING BUT DOES NOT CLOSE AT HIGHS OR LOWS

      Spoos closed at 2063.75 (basis Mar)

      K+3 = 2066.75

      K-3 = 2060.75

      Conclusion

      We have 3 KHC+3 SYSTEMS in play. Also any gap up open should fill the same day as per ES3 & ES7.

      We have a KTB2 DAY1 & DDUD SEASON DAY5 in play.

      Plan your trade, trade your plan!

      #12443
      smashie212
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        Kman

        Isn’t KTB day 2 typically a ‘rest’ day ?

        #12444
        Khalsa
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          It’s KTB Day 1 though Smashie

          Plan your trade, trade your plan!

          #12448
          Khalsa
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            Well this is a no where day as it stands with a contract reset for the rollover quad crooks oe next week.

            I would think we should see a retrace today below we carry on up with KTB / CROOKS QUAD OE.

            Whether that retrace is intraday or closing, hard to say, but guess is it is a intraday low and then bounce

            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

            #12449
            MAURITIUS
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              Lol Smashie…. You a day ahead?

              I just closed one of my shorts for 16pts profit so now 2 short and 3 long….

              Dan.

               

              #12450
              MAURITIUS
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                Make that 1 short, 3 longs…

                #12453
                smashie212
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                  Lol Smashie…. You a day ahead? I just closed one of my shorts for 16pts profit so now 2 short and 3 long…. Dan.

                  yeah out of sync – not really traded this week !

                  I was going to say y’day, if you were still hedged may be a good time to close some shorts with the KTB triggering, but looks like you’ve done so already,  a profits a profit 🙂

                  #12454
                  Khalsa
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                    and we are off and I am getting the retrace.

                    Below 2046.50 and we are in Wednesdays gap, which is support.

                    That gap is at 2040. Below that and we are really going down as it would be the first KTB failure in years.

                    I do not think so as we have to follow odds and odds are with the KTB for more up.

                    I think I know what SMashie may have meant. It was a KTB2 so that triggers on a large upday and then usually KTB2 DAY1 can be a retrace day before the KTB kicks in.

                     

                    Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                    #12455
                    MAURITIUS
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                      Was it a gap down? I missed open… If so gfs?

                       

                      #12456
                      Khalsa
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                        Instead it looks like support at 2050/3 area.

                        Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                        #12457
                        MAURITIUS
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                          If this KTB fails, I will be at The Old Bailey for murder….lol

                          #12459
                          Khalsa
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                            It was Dan but less than 3 points and filled right away

                            Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                            #12460
                            Khalsa
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                              If this KTB fails, I will be at The Old Bailey for murder….lol

                              lol, I promise to come and see you inside in my role as a Prison Chaplain lol

                              Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                              #12461
                              Khalsa
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                                This does look weak but could be all part of the retrace before more up (in line with KTB2 DAY1).

                                As I say, only below 2046.50 and then 2040 is a worry.

                                Plan your trade, trade your plan!

                                #12462
                                Khalsa
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                                  Nearly at 2046.50 now.

                                  Sadly my DAX short did not really yield results as the best it had was 70 points when SPX was not really down and now just 26 points when SPX is -17

                                  Plan your trade, trade your plan!

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