Hi all,

Recap ….

Intraday wise …. I banked 81.25 points in Spoos today.

I have 1 short in spoos and 2 swing positions open.

Onto today …

KP
None in play.

KTB
We have a KTB2 triggered at close on 02/07/2015.
TODAY IS DAY5.

KTS
We have a KTS5 triggered at close on 19/06/2015.
It is now negated after DAY9 at close on 02/07/2015.

SYSTEM BDIP
None in play.

DDUD
We have a DDUD Season triggered at close on 01/07/2015.
TODAY IS DAY6.

SYSTEMS TRIGGERED

ESH1 NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
USUALLY GIVES +3, IF IT GAPS DOWN THEN IT CAN GIVE A DDDD AND THEN BOUNCE AND MAKES A +3 LESS LIKELY.

ES 5C NEXT DAY (KHC+3)
SHOULD GIVE A +3

SYSTEM ESD
GOOD CHANCE OF -3, -5, PAST -5 GOOD CHANCE OF -7/-10 ETC

ESH2 (KHC+3)
CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7,+10. HOWEVER FAILURE TO PRINT +3 USUALLY RESULTS IN DOUBLE DIGIT DOWN DAY. DOES NOT USUALLY CLOSE AT HIGHS.

ES4B

SYSTEM ES8 (KHC+3)
MORE CHANCE OF UPSIDE THAN DOWNSIDE. USUALLY GIVES A +3.

ES16
SHOULD GET A +3 AND A -3 BOTH

SYSTEM 70 (KHC +3)
USUALLY GIVES +3

SYSTEM 72 (KHC+3)
SHOULD GET +3,+5 POSSIBLY MORE. DOWNSIDE USUALLY LIMITED TO -5.

SYSTEM SPXD
MORE DOWNSIDE THAN UPSIDE, NEGATIVE BIAS DAY

SYSTEM SPXH1
CAN GIVE +3,+5,+7 WITH A POSITIVE CLOSE. THE CLUE IS NOT TRADING MUCH NEGATIVE RTH

SYSTEM SPX1A
CAN GET VERY LOW PRINT BUT AFTER SOME DRAWDOWN.

SPX4A

Spoos closed at 2040.50 (basis Sep)

K+3 = 2043.50

K-3 = 2037.50

Conclusion

We have 6 KHC+3 SYSTEMS in play.

We have a KTB DAY5 & DDUD SEASON DAY6 in play.

HiweverHowever we are at 2040 and also with Greece resolution any day now, I need to be careful. I have had humongous bankings recently and really do not want to get caught. 

Lets see what  the positive khc’s bring and where we are in the morning.

Night all

I’m up @ 4am tomorrow so I’ll short the +3 then. Night all

or the +20? by then – lol.

I am really convinced in my mind Greeks do a deal but also pretty sure we are in a down trend.

Therefore my way is to play the volatility and short rallies and in the case of 2040, long the dip.

Plan remains that if 2040 breaks 1980 can be a target.

However with Greece, it can be a one day wonder spike through and pollux back up.

Hence sticking to my current plan and if this is up by morning, I play the short side basis ESD/SPXD combo

Short 2060.25, got to stick to my plan